Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse – Baltimore Port and Environs
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue March 26, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse – Baltimore Port and Environs by Patricia Healy, CFA


    Our hearts go out to those whose lives were affected by the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge after a major support was struck by a massive container ship in Tuesday’s early morning hours. Video clips of the collapse are captivating but distressing, given that there were people on the…


  • Deficits & Lame Duck POTUS
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 24, 2024

    Deficits & Lame Duck POTUS


    We now know the presumptive presidential candidates. One of them (Trump) has presided over the largest deficits of the last 60 years. The other (Biden) has proposed deficit reduction but he requires Congress to pass tax increases to obtain it. Trump has promised unspecified tax cuts. Republican…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest Mar 18 - Mar 22, 2024
     Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat March 23, 2024

    "Rate Hawks in Hiding?" — Week in Review


    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest is a compendium of news, commentary, and opinion from or of interest to our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We may include older and/…


  • March 2024 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri March 22, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - March 2024 FOMC by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    To no one’s surprise, the FOMC held its target rate range constant at 5.25%–5.5% and continued the process of letting its securities run off as they mature. In support of that decision, the committee’s statement cited data suggesting that job gains remain strong, the economy is expanding at a…


  • Putin
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 17, 2024

    Putin


    I’m starting this commentary with an analysis of Putin’s recent state of the nation address (“Putin’s Six-Year Manifesto Sets Sights Beyond Ukraine,” https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/91872). Please take a few minutes. The source is the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest Mar 11 - Mar 15, 2024
     Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat March 16, 2024

    Mar 15, 2024 Week in Review


    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest is a compendium of news, commentary, and opinion from or of interest to our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We may include older and/…


  • LEI, Yield Curve Inversion, Recession?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue March 12, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - LEI, Yield Curve Inversion, Recession by David R. Kotok


    Every time the Leading Economic Index (LEI) has been negative year-over-year and the yield curve was simultaneously inverted, there has been a recession – not just a slowdown but a recession. We have decades of data to support this assertion.


  • Chairman Powell’s Semi-annual Monetary Policy Testimony
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon March 11, 2024

    Chairman Powell’s Semi-annual Monetary Policy Testimony


     

    Chairman Powell gave his semi-annual monetary policy testimony on Wednesday before the House Financial Services Committee and on Thursday before the Senate Banking Committee. His introductory remarks were fairly short. 

     


  • Sam Rines Guest Words: Oil, Guyana, Venezuela, US Economics
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 10, 2024

    Sam Rines Guest Words


    Sam Rines penned this as a Managing Director of CORBŪ and has granted me permission to share his entire discussion about oil, Guyana, etc. with our readers. He is right on the mark. I thank Sam for his analysis and letting me share it with our readers.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest Mar 04 - Mar 08, 2024
     Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat March 9, 2024

    Mar 08, 2024 Week in Review


    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest is a compendium of news, commentary, and opinion from or of interest to our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We may include older and/or guest…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch