Market Commentary

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The Failing Trump Navarro Trade War

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: November 15, 2018
Market-Commentary-Cumberland-Advisors-Trade-War-Worsens

The United States seems to be losing the ill-conceived Trump-Navarro trade war. The evidence of this loss continues to mount. Here is an important Bloomberg catalog of specific facts and items and actions. (Note that this is not “fake news.”) “These Products Show How Hard It’ll Be to Beat China in Trade War,” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-11/trump-s-china-cold-war-yields-hard-look-at-global-supply-chains. Meanwhile, […]

Leveraged ETFs

Author: Leo Chen, Ph.D., Post Date: November 14, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Leo Chen, Ph.D.

Our quantitative strategy at Cumberland Advisors is a trading model that combines fundamental indicators and quantitative analysis into a binary output – either fully invested or all in cash. The strategy trades the S&P 500 in two versions: unleveraged and leveraged. Specifically, the leveraged portfolio uses a leveraged ETF as our vehicle to track 3X […]

California, Land of Natural Disasters?

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: November 13, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - California, Land of Natural Disasters

Last week we conducted a review of our California municipal bond holdings along the San Andreas Fault looking for holdings that may be more susceptible to credit deterioration in the event of a disaster. At the time, little did we know that wildfires would engulf large swaths of California. First, our hearts and prayers go […]

Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 05, 2018 – Nov 09, 2018)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: November 12, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Week in Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

Midterm Elections – The Quick Muni Note

Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Post Date: November 7, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Midterm Elections – The Quick Muni Note

Here’s our first take after the midterm elections. The polls actually got it right, with the Democrats taking the House of Representatives and the Republicans enjoying a slight pickup in the Senate. Divided government, with different parties in control of the House and Senate, has sometimes led to gridlock.  It also tends to keep spurious […]

Deficit, Fed, Post-Midterms

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date:
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Deficit, Fed, Post-Midterms

For the next few years, the increased debt financing of the United States will not be a problem for markets. That will remain the case as long as the US dollar is the unchallenged world reserve currency, as it has been for decades. When you survey the world and look at other countries’ economic systems and current situations, the US emerges as the best or, if you are a hand-wringing detractor, the least troubled.

Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Oct 29, 2018 – Nov 02, 2018)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: November 3, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Week in Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

The November FOMC and the Election

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 2, 2018
Federal Reserve - FOMC

The November FOMC meeting is scheduled for November 7 & 8, one day after the November 6 midterm election. We are not looking, then, at the possibility of any further FOMC action on interest rates that might influence the election one way or another, but what about after the election? Is the FOMC likely to […]

Responses to Climate Change & Markets

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: November 1, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Climate Change & Markets Responses

We thank readers for their many comments and criticisms regarding our commentary on climate change and markets. For those who missed the original piece, here is the link: “Climate Change & Markets,” https://www.cumber.com/climate-change-markets/. There were diverse responses ranging from total disagreement to full endorsement. No one offered observations about the market section. Many agreed that […]

Italy Update: Still a Concern for Investors

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: October 31, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

The Italian drama continues, with the European bond markets demonstrating great resilience despite the risks presented by the Italian government’s proposed fiscal policy stance, which has been rejected by the European Commission (EC). Earlier, after receiving Italy’s draft budget, the EC had asked Italy to explain why the government decided not to comply with European […]

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Cumberland Advisors® is registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. All information contained herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or offer to sell securities or investment advisory services. Such an offer can only be made in the states where Cumberland Advisors is either registered or is a Notice Filer or where an exemption from such registration or filing is available. New accounts will not be accepted unless and until all local regulations have been satisfied. This presentation does not purport to be a complete description of our performance or investment services. Please feel free to forward our commentaries (with proper attribution) to others who may be interested. It is not our intention to state or imply in any manner that past results and profitability is an indication of future performance. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
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