Market Commentary

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Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 07, 2019 – Jan 11, 2019)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: January 12, 2019
Week In Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

China Slowdown and Financial Markets

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: January 11, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

The Shanghai Stock Exchange was the worst performing major stock market in 2018, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index falling 25% over the course of the year. Concerns about a slowing economy deepened in the second half as current indicators surprised on the downside. While many economists cautioned that a major slowdown in China was […]

Can the President Fire the Chairman of the Federal Reserve?

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: January 10, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Bob Eisenbeis

The question has arisen, does the president have the ability to fire the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The short answer appears to be no. But few understand the structure of the Federal Reserve and how, by design, that structure both compartmentalizes and is designed to insulate policy making from attempts by outsiders to influence […]

Zika, Climate Change & January 25

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: January 9, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Zika

On December 30, as 2018 drew to an end, NBC’s Meet the Press aired an entire program on the climate change crisis, well worth watching (https://www.nbc.com/meet-the-press/video/meet-the-press-1230/3850857). Host Chuck Todd gave no air time to climate change denialism. Instead, the episode plunged into analyzing the crisis at hand, what might be done, what impediments slow our […]

Q4 2018 Credit Commentary and a Look Ahead to 2019

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: January 8, 2019
Cumberland Advisors - Q4 2018 Credit Commentary and a Look Ahead to 2019

Has The Municipal Credit Cycle Plateaued? Many positive indicators suggest that the municipal credit cycle has yet to plateau. Upgrades continue to outpace downgrades; the US economy is still growing; federal tax reform boosted revenues in fiscal 2018; and rainy day funds or reserve levels in many localities are strong. However, pressures continue to confront […]

Trade Wars and Government Shutdowns Can Be Fishy Business

Author: Michael McNiven, Ph.D., Post Date: January 7, 2019
Market-Commentary-Cumberland-Advisors-Trade

We have written with some regularity about the consequences of trade wars. The Apple story and the potentially larger economic slowdown in China are a case in point. There are consequences to all of this for all parties involved. In general, we do support free trade in the ideal world where there are no barriers […]

Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 31, 2018 – Jan 04, 2019)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date:
Week In Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

4Q18 Review: Tactical Trend

Author: Matthew McAleer, Post Date: January 4, 2019
CA-Matthew-C-McAleer

Selling begets selling – that phrase was drilled into my head in 1998 and 2001–2002 by veteran traders who chuckled at the talking heads looking for intellectual, fundamental causes for vicious downturns. Fear of the unknown will always dominate emotions when a market picks up negative momentum. We used to search for the inevitable “bids […]

4Q2018 Review: Puerto Rico Insured Bond

Author: Shaun Burgess, Post Date: January 3, 2019
Cumberland Advisors - Shaun Burgess - Portfolio Manager & Fixed Income Analyst

It has been a busy quarter for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Milestones included a conclusion to the Title VI restructuring of the Government Development Bank (GDB) and a plan for the restructuring of the Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation’s (COFINA), as well as the continued rebuilding from the damages wrought by Hurricane Maria […]

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Cumberland Advisors® is registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. All information contained herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or offer to sell securities or investment advisory services. Such an offer can only be made in the states where Cumberland Advisors is either registered or is a Notice Filer or where an exemption from such registration or filing is available. New accounts will not be accepted unless and until all local regulations have been satisfied. This presentation does not purport to be a complete description of our performance or investment services. Please feel free to forward our commentaries (with proper attribution) to others who may be interested. It is not our intention to state or imply in any manner that past results and profitability is an indication of future performance. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
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