Market Commentary

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Shutdown #6

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: February 12, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

US agriculture was not well positioned to suffer a federal government shutdown in December and January. In an era of low commodity prices, many farms cannot afford trade-war shenanigans and cannot afford government shutdowns. Across the US, median farm income for 2018 was -$1548 (yes, a negative $1548), a fifteen-year low, despite record farm productivity […]

The SALT (State and Local Taxes) Conundrum

Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Patricia Healy, CFA, & Gabriel Hament, Post Date:
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - The SALT (State and Local Taxes) Conundrum (Municipal Bonds)

There have been headlines recently describing the drop in state tax revenues versus forecasts for some of the higher-tax states such as California, New York, and New Jersey. Part of the falloff is due to an exodus of higher-income residents from high-tax states, such as the ones above, for states with low or no income […]

Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Feb 04, 2019 – Feb 08, 2019)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: February 9, 2019
Week In Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

Gold

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: February 4, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Gold

What do 72 countries – including developed nations such as Canada, Australia, Japan, and Sweden; emerging giants such as Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Nigeria, India, Iran, and Russia; and small countries such as Burundi, Haiti, Myanmar, Syria, and Tonga – all have in common? Not much, you might say; they differ vastly in such metrics as […]

Shutdown #5

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: January 31, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

My colleague Norm Dempsey reminded me to thank all the readers of our shutdown series for their emails and messages. He also noted we should do the same for those who supported the climate change series. We concur with Norm. In his reminder Norm mentioned that when former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich was sentenced by […]

Tax the Rich

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: January 29, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Bob Eisenbeis

As the political season begins to heat up for 2020, we have seen an increasing number of proposals to provide free education, free healthcare, a universal guarantee of a living wage, etc. With an historic level of public debt topping $21 trillion and a deficit of nearly $1 trillion and projected to climb even more […]

European Growth Concerns Deepen

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: January 28, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

The latest economic indicators reveal that the economic slowdown in Europe persists. President Draghi of the European Central Bank (ECB) has underlined the continued weakness, expectations for softer near-term growth, and downside risks. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered its economic projections for the euro area. Political uncertainties in Europe add to the headwinds […]

Shutdown #4

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: January 26, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

Here is a link to an FBI report on what the shutdown is doing to safety and law enforcement and all that is related to those concerns. The report is entitled Voices from the Field (https://www.fbiaa.org/sites/default/files/downloadable/FBIAA%20Voices%20from%20the%20Field.pdf). The FBI describes it as follows: “Voices from the Field contains reports from FBI Special Agents nationwide. These stories illustrate how the government […]

Watch Livestream of Climate Change Summit at University South Florida Sarasota-Manatee

Author: , Post Date: January 25, 2019
Bob Bunting, accomplished entrepreneur and scientist

Cumberland Advisors’ Patty Healy is participating in the Climate Change Summit held at USF Sarasota-Manatee today, January 25, 2019. She’ll be speaking to the audience about municipal bond ratings relating to how prepared these entities are for severe weather events, the impacts of climate change, and other factors that may affect credit ratings. I’ll be […]

Shutdown #3

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: January 24, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

We believe one of the Achilles heels of the Trump-Pelosi shutdown war is found in air travel. Growing waits at airports. More “blue flu” sick-outs. TSA workers unpaid. And much more. This is a festering and growing, artificially concocted crisis as our political leaders fiddle and our nation (like ancient Rome) burns. Trump’s approval is […]

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