Tag Archives: Bonds

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Is the Municipal Bond Market Sleepy?! Pension Doomsday?

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: November 19, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Is the Municipal Bond Market Sleepy - Pension Doomsday

Today’s municipal bond market is anything but “sleepy,” as Spencer Jakab characterized it in his Wall Street Journal article “Prophet of Muni Market Doom Wasn’t Wrong, Just Early” (10/26/2018). The Prophet of Doom he referred to was Meredith Whitney, who shortly before the financial crisis successfully predicted the damage to Citibank by bad mortgages. In […]

California, Land of Natural Disasters?

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: November 13, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - California, Land of Natural Disasters

Last week we conducted a review of our California municipal bond holdings along the San Andreas Fault looking for holdings that may be more susceptible to credit deterioration in the event of a disaster. At the time, little did we know that wildfires would engulf large swaths of California. First, our hearts and prayers go […]

MOUSSEAU: The Cumberland World Series Theory of the Bond

Author: , Post Date: October 26, 2018
Cumberland Advisors John Mousseau

Most investors have heard of the “Super Bowl Theory of the Dow.” This theory, first proposed by sportswriter Leonard Koppett in the 1970s, according to Wikipedia, posited that when a team from the “old” NFL (the current NFC, plus the Colts, Browns and Steelers, who joined the AFC in 1970) won the Super Bowl, the […]

Hurricane Michael and Bond Portfolio Management

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: October 17, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary

The devastation from Michael in terms of lives and property damage is still being assessed. Our hearts go out to those affected. We have written (http://www.cumber.com/wildfires-abound/) about the general uptick in economic activity in a municipality after a storm or other natural disaster and the resulting maintenance of credit ratings. However, there could be a period […]

Q3 2018 Municipal Credit Commentary

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: September 28, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Q3 2018 Municipal Credit Commentary

Updates, budgets, potential future stresses, state ratings, default study, and last but not least, storms Last quarter we focused our 2Q 2018 municipal credit commentary on two SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) rulings. One allows states to collect tax on out-of-state internet sales while the other restricts public unions from requiring that non-union […]