Tag Archives: Eurozone

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Britain’s Constitutional Crisis

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: September 4, 2019
BREXIT

“A constitutional outrage” exclaimed the traditionally neutral House of Commons Speaker, John Bercow. “An affront to democracy … an intolerable attempt to silence Parliament,” declared the editorial in the August 29th Financial Times. These were reactions to Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s request to the queen to shut down the UK Parliament for five weeks, via […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Draghi Signals “You Go First” to the Fed While Johnson Threatens

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: July 29, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

The European Central Bank (ECB) did not reduce key interest rates at its July meeting ending last week, contrary to the expectations of some observers. This decision leaves the US central bank, the Federal Reserve, to take the lead with a widely forecast rate cut at its meeting this week. However, ECB president Mario Draghi […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Investing in European Equities

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: July 10, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - EUROPE MAP

Just days after US President Trump announced a ceasefire and resumption of trade negotiations with China, the US Trade Representative proposed new tariffs on 89 European Union (EU) goods worth $4 billion. These levies are in response to concerns about aircraft subsidies and would be added to the $21 billion list of potential tariffs the […]

EU Election: Negative But Could Have Been Worse

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: June 3, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - EUROPE MAP

The results of the European Union’s Parliamentary elections, held the last weekend in May, were welcomed by investors as being not as bad as many had feared. A broad populist and nationalist anti-EU surge, which had looked possible, was avoided. Pro-EU lawmakers will continue to be in a clear majority, aided by gains by green […]

Eurozone Economy’s Expansion Ongoing and Broad-Based, Downside Risks Worrying

Author: Bill Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: September 24, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

The European Central Bank (ECB) left its monetary policy stance unchanged at its September 13 meeting. Net asset purchases will end in December, but with the Bank’s maintaining its stock of assets, the reinvestment of redemptions will maintain substantial stimulus. No increase in policy interest rates is signaled until at least after the end of […]

Fed & Rates

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: July 3, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

My colleague Bob Eisenbeis recently described the improved communications from the Fed and offered his current thoughts on Fed policy. His post-Fed-meeting notes are here: http://www.cumber.com/the-fed-decides/. Today we want to take a longer view of interest rates and offer some observations on what lies ahead. I write this after the FOMC June meeting and after […]

Difficult Quarter for Eurozone Stocks

Author: Bill Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: June 28, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Bill Witherell, Ph.D.

Eurozone equity markets have encountered significant headwinds in the second quarter of this year despite continued robust economic growth above estimated potential for most Eurozone economies. The continued strength of the Eurozone economies is emphasized in this month’s “OECD Economic Surveys: Euro Area.”[i] These economies have been growing since 2014. “GDP growth is expected to […]