Tag Archives: Federal Reserve Bank

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – No Conspiracy at St. Louis Fed.

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: January 21, 2020
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - No Conspiracy at St. Louis Fed

In my opinion the speculation about a conspiracy at the St. Louis Fed may be fodder for internet speculation, but it is simply not true. There is coincidence in timing of unrelated announcements.  We believe it is pure coincidence. Here’s the fact set. 1. On January 16, 2020, the St. Louis Fed discontinued the series […]

Surveillance: Negative Rates with Mohamed El-Erian (Bloomberg Radio Podcast)

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 24, 2019
Surveillance Negative Rates with Mohamed El-Erian (Bloomberg Radio Podcast)

Surveillance: Negative Rates with Mohamed El-Erian (Bloomberg Radio Podcast) Hosts: Tom Keene, Jon Ferro, and Pimm Fox David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Co-Founder & CIO, says negative interest rates are at a peak. Michael Holland, Holland & Co. Chairman and Founder, thinks the Fed is far more important for markets than a U.S.-China trade deal. Dana […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Bob Eisenbeis shares Personal Reflections of Paul Volcker

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date:
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Paul Volcker as remembered by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Despite Volcker’s tendency to listen to only a few close associates when it came to key policy issues, but unlike Arthur Burns, he was respectful and tolerant of staff. I was fortunate enough to have a chance five years or so ago to sit down with Paul at a Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago conference and discuss the past. Among his key attributes were his integrity, the quality of his public service, his concern for the independence of the Fed, and his commitment to break the back of inflation despite the personal and political attacks he incurred in response to his policies designed to achieve that end.

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – FOMC ZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: December 16, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC

“Boring” was how commentators on at least one network characterized the FOMC’s December 11th decision to hold rates constant. It was, in fact, a no-brainer decision given the strong labor market, which created 266 thousand jobs in November; strong consumer spending based upon the Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales data; an unemployment rate at […]

What the FOMC Said

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 1, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Following the FOMC’s announcement of its third consecutive rate cut after its meeting this week, speculation immediately broke out among market participants about whether additional cuts or even rate increases might be on the horizon going into 2020. However, such speculation is probably more noise than substance at this point, since the Committee’s statement was […]

Bloomberg TV – Think the Fed Will Be Pat for a While, Says Cumberland’s Eisenbeis

Author: , Post Date: October 30, 2019
Bloomberg TV - Think the Fed Will Be Pat for a While, Says Cumberland’s Eisenbeis

Bloomberg TV – Daybreak Asia October 30, 2019 Robert Eisenbeis, vice chairman and chief monetary economist at Cumberland Advisors, discusses the potential for another Fed rate cut in December and beyond and his thoughts on communication from the central bank. He speaks on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)   WATCH HERE (or click the embedded […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – The Market Knows

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: October 7, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced on Friday, Oct 4 that it would continue to offer a maximum of $75 billion in overnight repurchase agreements and at the same time offer a series of term repos through at least November 4 according to the following schedule:[1] This extension seems to be an attempt […]