Tag Archives: FOMC

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The November FOMC and the Election

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 2, 2018
Federal Reserve - FOMC

The November FOMC meeting is scheduled for November 7 & 8, one day after the November 6 midterm election. We are not looking, then, at the possibility of any further FOMC action on interest rates that might influence the election one way or another, but what about after the election? Is the FOMC likely to […]

Federal Reserve Independence – Under Attack Again?

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: October 18, 2018
Federal Reserve - Independence

The last few days, President Trump has made inflammatory and in some instances misguided remarks as to the nature of current Fed policy, its impact on the stock market and potentially on the economy. Examples follow: “It is a correction (the decline in the stock market) that I feel is caused by the Federal Reserve.” […]

FOMC Closes Out Q3 2018

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: September 28, 2018
Federal Reserve - FOMC

As Treasury markets had correctly predicted, the FOMC raised its target range for federal funds by 25 basis points to 2.0%–2.25% at its meeting on Wednesday, Sept. 26. Perhaps more importantly, it also deleted the observation that policy remains accommodative, though Chairman Powell went out of his way in his opening remarks to point out […]

The Rise of Municipal Separately Managed Accounts 2018 Update

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: September 18, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - The Rise of Municipal Separately Managed Accounts 2018 Update

Cumberland has utilized separately managed accounts to execute its fixed-income strategy since its inception in 1973, long before separately managed accounts (SMAs) were popularized in the early 2000s. What exactly is an SMA? Per Investopedia: “A[n] SMA is a portfolio of assets under the management of a professional investment firm. In the United States, the […]

It’s in the Stars

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: August 27, 2018
Cumberland Advisors' Bob Eisenbeis

As is the custom for Fed chairs, Chairman Powell provided the kickoff address to the Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium, broadly attended by many of the world’s central bankers. For those who are unfamiliar with the conference, the papers presented are generally conceptual economic policy documents with a distinctly longer-run, bigger-picture focus rather […]

Fed Independence

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 23, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

In the wake of the turmoil in Washington, DC, over his performance in Helsinki, President Trump also took a sideswipe at the Federal Reserve, criticizing the FOMC’s recent efforts to normalize policy.

Most presidents – though not all – have understood that Fed independence ensures separation from the Treasury and serves as a check on fiscal excesses. When a central bank takes orders from the fiscal side of government, history shows that inflation and economic decline soon follow.

Fed & Rates

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: July 3, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

My colleague Bob Eisenbeis recently described the improved communications from the Fed and offered his current thoughts on Fed policy. His post-Fed-meeting notes are here: http://www.cumber.com/the-fed-decides/. Today we want to take a longer view of interest rates and offer some observations on what lies ahead. I write this after the FOMC June meeting and after […]