Tag Archives: Robert Eisenbeis

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – To Pass or Not to Pass (Part 3)

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: August 1, 2019
Market Commentary - Robert-Eisenbeis - To Pass or Not to Pass (Part 3)

The FOMC decided to throw a pass by cutting rates; but given the market’s response, it looks like they were tackled for a loss. In Woody Hayes’ parlance, the one positive of a forward pass turned into a negative. Powell attempted to offer three justifications for the policy move: to insure against downside risks, to […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – To Pass or Not to Pass? (Part 2)

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 30, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC - Uncertainty, Risk, & Three Options

In our previous discussion of the three options facing the FOMC – raise the funds-rate target, hold the rate steady, or cut the target rate – we argued that there were risks and potentially negative consequences associated with each. The first option would shock markets and raise questions about the Committee’s rationale, regardless of what […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Libra and Other Cryptocurrencies

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 25, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Libra & Other Cryptocurrencies

Congressional hearings this past week were the first of what are likely to be a number of investigations into Facebook’s proposed Libra cryptocurrency and associated Calibra wallet. The initial reactions of legislators at the hearings ranged from a desire to support and encourage financial innovation to downright skepticism and hostility. Some of the questioners asked […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Clams Or Gold Responses

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 23, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Clams or Gold

We received several comments from readers concerning some of the key points in our recent commentary “Clams or Gold.”[1] Below is an abbreviated version of the questions, to which responses are then supplied. Comment: You may have seriously misled readers because both the purity of the official gold bullion and measurement of ounces have remained […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – To Pass or Not to Pass? (Part 1)

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 15, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC - Uncertainty, Risk, & Three Options

Ohio State’s Woody Hayes used to say that his problem with the forward pass was that “Three things can happen, and two of them are bad.” Well, after Chairman Powell’s testimony last week, the FOMC may find itself in a similar position, only maybe worse. The Committee can do three things – lower rates, keep […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Clams or Gold

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 12, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Johnny Hart, the creator of the comic strip BC, created an economy in which clams served as currency. Clams were plentiful, so no one ran out of currency, except that an occasional clam had cartoon legs and opted for a different career. A currency in the form of a good is of course nothing new […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Jobs and Other Thoughts

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 9, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Employment Report

Earlier in the week, before July 4th, ADP released its jobs report for June and predicted that the economy had only created a modest increase of 102K jobs on the heels of May’s 75K. The press picked up that number with headlines like “Job Creation Has Another Rough Month in June as Private Payrolls Rise […]

The June FOMC

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: June 24, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC

In the commentary leading up to the June meeting, I argued that some relaxation of the tariff issues with Mexico, combined with relatively good data for the US economy, would make the FOMC’s decision to hold pat on rates relatively easier. While the FOMC did decide at its June meeting to hold rates constant for […]