Tag Archives: Robert Eisenbeis

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – The Trade Policies

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: January 14, 2020
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Beginning in 2018, in a long sequence of actions, the US enacted tariffs on goods from a number of countries besides just China. In some cases the affected countries responded with their own retaliatory tariffs on US products. As a consequence of the timing and the short periods that many of the tariffs have been […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Bob Eisenbeis shares Personal Reflections of Paul Volcker

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: December 24, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Paul Volcker as remembered by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Despite Volcker’s tendency to listen to only a few close associates when it came to key policy issues, but unlike Arthur Burns, he was respectful and tolerant of staff. I was fortunate enough to have a chance five years or so ago to sit down with Paul at a Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago conference and discuss the past. Among his key attributes were his integrity, the quality of his public service, his concern for the independence of the Fed, and his commitment to break the back of inflation despite the personal and political attacks he incurred in response to his policies designed to achieve that end.

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – FOMC ZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: December 16, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC

“Boring” was how commentators on at least one network characterized the FOMC’s December 11th decision to hold rates constant. It was, in fact, a no-brainer decision given the strong labor market, which created 266 thousand jobs in November; strong consumer spending based upon the Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales data; an unemployment rate at […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Overshadowed?

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 19, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC

Public attention this past week was riveted on the impeachment testimony before the House Intelligence Committee, which totally overshadowed Chairman Powell’s semiannual report and two days of testimony to Congress on monetary policy. That outcome is probably not a bad one, since there were no new insights provided nor any clues as to when or […]

What the FOMC Said

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 1, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

Following the FOMC’s announcement of its third consecutive rate cut after its meeting this week, speculation immediately broke out among market participants about whether additional cuts or even rate increases might be on the horizon going into 2020. However, such speculation is probably more noise than substance at this point, since the Committee’s statement was […]

Taxing Wealth Instead of Income, Part 2

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: October 15, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

As a follow-up to David Kotok’s piece last week on taxing wealth (https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-wealth-tax/), it may be useful to remind readers what the potential incentive effects might be when it comes to the implications of wealth tax proposals to tax wealth may have on entrepreneurs and business structures. Proponents of a wealth tax are motivated by […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – The Market Knows

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: October 7, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced on Friday, Oct 4 that it would continue to offer a maximum of $75 billion in overnight repurchase agreements and at the same time offer a series of term repos through at least November 4 according to the following schedule:[1] This extension seems to be an attempt […]

Repo Market, Monetary Policy, & Liquidity Discussion – An On-Demand Webinar

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: October 5, 2019
On-Demand Webinar - How does the Repo Market, Monetary Policy, & a Liquidity crunch affect Financial Markets

In early September 2019 there was an unusual spike in rates in the repurchase (“repo”) market causing a liquidity squeeze on broker-dealers that use repos to finance their portfolios of Treasury and agency securities.  It remains a mystery as to what catalyzed the liquidity squeeze.  The response by the Federal Reserve Bank and market participants […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Repos and Reverse Repos

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: September 27, 2019
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

The week of September 16 saw the Federal Reserve Bank of New York inject funds into the repo market in response to an unusual spike in rates that was above the initial target range for the federal funds rate of 2.0–2.25%. (The target rate was lowered to 1.75–2.00% after the close of the FOMC’s meeting […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – MMT and Camp Kotok

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: August 26, 2019

As David Kotok noted in his description of the intellectual discussions that occurred at Camp Kotok in Grand Lake Stream, Maine, one of the topics was so-called Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT.[1] There were four panelists, who were asked to take different sides for the sake of argument, representing positions from the most favorable to […]