Tag Archives: tax-free municipals

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Q4 2018 Credit Commentary and a Look Ahead to 2019

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: January 8, 2019
Cumberland Advisors - Q4 2018 Credit Commentary and a Look Ahead to 2019

Has The Municipal Credit Cycle Plateaued? Many positive indicators suggest that the municipal credit cycle has yet to plateau. Upgrades continue to outpace downgrades; the US economy is still growing; federal tax reform boosted revenues in fiscal 2018; and rainy day funds or reserve levels in many localities are strong. However, pressures continue to confront […]

Is the Municipal Bond Market Sleepy?! Pension Doomsday?

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: November 19, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Is the Municipal Bond Market Sleepy - Pension Doomsday

Today’s municipal bond market is anything but “sleepy,” as Spencer Jakab characterized it in his Wall Street Journal article “Prophet of Muni Market Doom Wasn’t Wrong, Just Early” (10/26/2018). The Prophet of Doom he referred to was Meredith Whitney, who shortly before the financial crisis successfully predicted the damage to Citibank by bad mortgages. In […]

Midterm Elections – The Quick Muni Note

Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Post Date: November 7, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Midterm Elections – The Quick Muni Note

Here’s our first take after the midterm elections. The polls actually got it right, with the Democrats taking the House of Representatives and the Republicans enjoying a slight pickup in the Senate. Divided government, with different parties in control of the House and Senate, has sometimes led to gridlock.  It also tends to keep spurious […]

Chicken Little

Author: David Kotok, Post Date: January 16, 2011

We do not want to diminish the important debate about fiscal policy and budget austerity. It is global and it is critical. This commentary is about distinguishing between facts and unsupported, shrill, distracting assertions. First, the US federal fiscal mess. The FT.com link to the full story (subscription required) is http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31dbce8a-1f52-11e0-8c1c-00144feab49a.html#ixzz1BCXKIV3S. The numbers are real. […]