Tag Archives: Trump

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Radio Podcast – The US-China Trade War: Global Markets in a Multi-Polar World | David Kotok

Author: , Post Date: December 1, 2018
David-Kotok-Radio-Money-Life-Blue

Kotok: the market is getting back to normal, & while it might be some new normal, it will have the traditional long-term returns of 8-10% for large-cap domestic stocks & lower single-digits for bonds, & he noted that correcting expectations should help investors find satisfaction in the market ahead.

Deficit, Fed, Post-Midterms

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: November 7, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Deficit, Fed, Post-Midterms

For the next few years, the increased debt financing of the United States will not be a problem for markets. That will remain the case as long as the US dollar is the unchallenged world reserve currency, as it has been for decades. When you survey the world and look at other countries’ economic systems and current situations, the US emerges as the best or, if you are a hand-wringing detractor, the least troubled.

David Kotok: Market norms are being restored; expect single-digit returns – Money Life (Radio)

Author: , Post Date: November 1, 2018
David-Kotok-Radio-Money-Life-Blue

Kotok: the market is getting back to normal, & while it might be some new normal, it will have the traditional long-term returns of 8-10% for large-cap domestic stocks & lower single-digits for bonds, & he noted that correcting expectations should help investors find satisfaction in the market ahead.

Responses to Climate Change & Markets

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date:
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Climate Change & Markets Responses

We thank readers for their many comments and criticisms regarding our commentary on climate change and markets. For those who missed the original piece, here is the link: “Climate Change & Markets,” https://www.cumber.com/climate-change-markets/. There were diverse responses ranging from total disagreement to full endorsement. No one offered observations about the market section. Many agreed that […]

Markets to Head Higher After Rocky Period (Radio)

Author: , Post Date: October 31, 2018
Cumberland's David Kotok on Bloomberg Radio

David Kotok, Chief Investment Officer/Co-Founder, Cumberland Advisors, joined Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on Daybreak Asia. He says the fundamental issue for markets is still trade, he goes on to say whatever the outcome of the midterm elections, we will then have clarity for the next two years. “Just lifting the uncertainty, I believe, will […]

Climate Change & Markets

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: October 23, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Climate Change & Markets

Why did Hurricane Michael intensify so quickly? And why was the Western US so hot and dry this summer? And what about climate change all across the rest of the global landscape and seascape? And what do I do with my portfolio? There are still many climate change deniers. But that cohort shrinks as more […]

Markets & Cognitive Epistemology

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: October 19, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Markets & Cognitive Epistemology

We want to open a discussion about cognitive epistemology, invoking behavioral economics and translating our conclusions into a market strategy at the end. Epistemology is the study of how we know what we know – or really, what we think we know. Here is a precise definition: “the theory of knowledge, especially with regard to […]

Federal Reserve Independence – Under Attack Again?

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: October 18, 2018
Federal Reserve - Independence

The last few days, President Trump has made inflammatory and in some instances misguided remarks as to the nature of current Fed policy, its impact on the stock market and potentially on the economy. Examples follow: “It is a correction (the decline in the stock market) that I feel is caused by the Federal Reserve.” […]

Doc Holliday, Jay Powell, Donald Trump & The Piano

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: October 12, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

“Ready, Fire, Aim”? In Understanding and Managing Public Organizations, Hal Rainey makes the point that “the intangible issues of culture, values, human relations – matters that many managers regard as fuzzy and unmanageable – can and must be skillfully managed.” The contrary approach, which is favored by many companies and government agencies, can be summarized […]