Tag Archives: Yield Curve

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Are We Near a Recession? The Godfather of the Inverted Yield Curve Says It’s ‘Code Red’

Author: , Post Date: September 9, 2019

Are We Near a Recession? The Godfather of the Inverted Yield Curve Says It’s ‘Code Red’ By Lucinda Shen September 9, 2019 Excerpt below… Is the U.S. nearing a recession? It’s the multi-trillion dollar question on the minds of executives and investors around the world. The inverted yield curve, a key predictor for financial downturns, […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – The Bond Conundrum and How to Manage

Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Post Date: August 20, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Bond Conundrum

The past couple of weeks have been breathtaking for bond investors and observers of the bond market. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond is now at a record low – it dipped under 2% this week – and the 10-year Treasury is not far off its record low of 1.36% set in July 2016 […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Report from Leen’s Lodge (Camp Kotok)

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: August 15, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Report from Leen’s Lodge (Camp Kotok)

The 50-person gathering at Leen’s Lodge encompassed diverse political views, financial and economic specialties, and asset class focused from cannabis to currency trading, real estate to debt of all types, stock markets and ETFs, derivatives and futures, and more. Over $1 trillion in managed assets were represented as we gathered for each informal meal. No […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary –  Trump Tax Reform: Looking Backward and Forward

Author: , Post Date: April 1, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary

Two members of the research department of the Banque de France have published an interesting note important to US investors. We applaud the work of Cristina Jude and Francesco Pappada. The title is “Does the Trump corporate tax reform impact the composition of the US current account?” Here is a direct link to their paper: […]

1Q2019 Review: Taxable Fixed Income

Author: , Post Date: March 26, 2019
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary

Short to intermediate Treasury yields declined throughout the first quarter as of March 19th, as the 30-year Treasury was flat at roughly 3.00%. The Treasury yield curve remains slightly inverted out to 5-years. This has benefited the Agency multi-step securities that we hold in portfolios, as we have witnessed an increase in calls as coupon […]