Market Commentary

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Cry for Argentina

Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: August 19, 2019

Argentina’s primary election on Sunday, August 11, surprised everyone and shocked markets as the current president, Mauricio Macri, was defeated by 15.6 percentage points by the left-wing Peronist candidate, Alberto Fernandez. Macri now appears to have only a very slim chance to win the October 27 presidential election. His tough austerity measures, which were needed […]

Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Aug 12, 2019 – Aug 16, 2019)

Author: , Post Date: August 17, 2019
Week In Review

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Report from Leen’s Lodge (Camp Kotok)

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: August 15, 2019

The 50-person gathering at Leen’s Lodge encompassed diverse political views, financial and economic specialties, and asset class focused from cannabis to currency trading, real estate to debt of all types, stock markets and ETFs, derivatives and futures, and more. Over $1 trillion in managed assets were represented as we gathered for each informal meal. No […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Gorsuch & Fake News

Author: David R. kotok, Post Date: August 13, 2019
Cumberland Advisors - Fake News

At our Camp Kotok gathering in Maine, we often discussed truth and fact checking versus the spreading practice of political lies and fakery.  We will have more to say about the gathering. For now here is a case study about truth and lies. Shortly after he was appointed to the Supreme Court in April, 2017, […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Inflection Point?

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: August 5, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Inflection Point (David Kotok)

I’ve known Tom Kean, former governor of New Jersey and co-chair of the 911 Commission, for 40 years, and served in several positions in his administration when he was governor. He represents the greatness of the Republican Party, which has produced folks like him and his father Bob Kean and others like Everett Dirksen or […]

Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary –  Trump, Trade, Taxes, Troubles.

Author: David R. Kotok & Robert Brusca, Ph.D., Post Date: August 2, 2019
Market-Commentary by David R. Kotok & Robert Brusca, Ph.D.

Bob Brusca, Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, sent a research note entitled “Why Trump is nagging Powell.” He included this chart. Note the dates. The table above ranks the change in the ISM (Mfg.) and its components from their levels on the eve of Trump’s election to the current month. The ISM and […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – To Pass or Not to Pass (Part 3)

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: August 1, 2019
Market Commentary - Robert-Eisenbeis - To Pass or Not to Pass (Part 3)

The FOMC decided to throw a pass by cutting rates; but given the market’s response, it looks like they were tackled for a loss. In Woody Hayes’ parlance, the one positive of a forward pass turned into a negative. Powell attempted to offer three justifications for the policy move: to insure against downside risks, to […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Markets During Apollo 11

Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Post Date:
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Markets During Apollo 11

This past week we celebrated the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing. Remarkably, only 1/3 of Americans today were alive when that happened. As a 12-year-old kid I was riveted by the space program and tried to digest the minutia of every flight. Like a lot of kids, we watched the moon landing […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – To Pass or Not to Pass? (Part 2)

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: July 30, 2019
Federal Reserve - FOMC - Uncertainty, Risk, & Three Options

In our previous discussion of the three options facing the FOMC – raise the funds-rate target, hold the rate steady, or cut the target rate – we argued that there were risks and potentially negative consequences associated with each. The first option would shock markets and raise questions about the Committee’s rationale, regardless of what […]

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Cumberland Advisors® is registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. All information contained herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or offer to sell securities or investment advisory services. Such an offer can only be made in the states where Cumberland Advisors is either registered or is a Notice Filer or where an exemption from such registration or filing is available. New accounts will not be accepted unless and until all local regulations have been satisfied. This presentation does not purport to be a complete description of our performance or investment services. Please feel free to forward our commentaries (with proper attribution) to others who may be interested. It is not our intention to state or imply in any manner that past results and profitability is an indication of future performance. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
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