Dear readers, Here’s a meaty analysis of the Friday employment report. Please note the link will take you to a $27 a month trial. After you read this report, you may find it worthwhile. Please note: I’m a paying subscriber. Enjoy. -David COMMENTS ON APRIL JOB LOSSES TLR Analytics An appalling employment report, reflecting massive […]
This Sunday morning we wish to thank readers for their many emails over the last few months. We particularly welcome the historical references and comments about our WW2 analogy for WWC, the world’s battle against COVID-19. Here are some to consider. Then we have a YouTube video for you at the end. Thank you to […]
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback […]
As late as March 11, Fla. Gov. Ron DeSantis was denying that community spread was taking place, a claim that ran directly counter to statements made the day before by Dr. Anthony Fauci of the White House COVID-19 Task Force. It is now clear, however, that behind the scenes the state was collecting data that suggested much earlier community transmission.
Hat tip to Barry Ritholtz for including in his daily reading list a link to a compelling and enlightening set of coronavirus infographics from Information Is Beautiful. Here is that link: https://informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/covid-19-coronavirus-infographic-datapack/. First, a preface. Readers please note that the statistics shown in the infographics are the “official” counts. In the US those statistics are […]
The term black swan refers to rare events that are unpredictable in nature. These events are mathematically difficult to compute and statistically insignificant. Black Monday on October 19, 1987, is a typical example. One may consider the COVID-19 pandemic a black swan as well. CBOE launched the SKEW Index in 1990, and it has been […]
Dear Readers, We would like to open our Sunday morning missive with this two minute message introduced by a prominent COVID19 survivor. We thank Christian Calgie for bringing this video to our attention: Geoffrey Cox reading Jerusalem accompanied by the orchestral music: I promise you, however prepared you think you are, it exceeds expectations pic.twitter.com/Ex5SadXXVy […]
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau. John joins Matt on camera this week and they talk about: -Our thoughts on small cap and mid cap rallies -Demand during pullbacks -Our adjustments in portfolios -Biotech -Weekly momentum -What we […]
As the equity markets rally from the March 24th bottom gains steam, the VIX volatility index has more than halved since its all-time high on March 16th. VIX hit the 80 level for the first time during the financial crisis. Unlike a decade ago, it only took a month for the VIX to drop below […]
As the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus emerged in Wuhan, spread throughout China (as millions of Wuhan residents fled their city), and then found its way overseas to cause a global pandemic, pressure mounted on governments to justify their actions in response, and a blame game soon ensued, with the Chinese and US among the main players. Initially, […]
