Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 09, 2019 – Dec 13, 2019)

Author: Cumberland Advisors, Post Date: December 14, 2019

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.

Week In Review

These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.


As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.


This week, we talk about how we trade news and noise.

After 3 years of BREXIT worry and 18 months of China negotiations, we’ve got a little resolution. However…
-We don’t trade BREXIT
-We don’t trade GDP
-We don’t trade economic numbers
-We trade securities – Matt explains

We look at charts, SPY, our cash levels, sectors showing good relative strength vs SPY, International, Bonds (Fixed Income) and more.

So, how do we trade news and noise? We have to look at, not what the news is, but how the market trades on that news.

Watch in the video player above or at this link:

Have a great weekend and thank you for joining us at Cumberland Advisors.

-Matt McAleer

Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email:
-Link to Matt’s Twitter:
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn:
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013

Other questions or comments? Email us at or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.



Healthcare & Energy Assets Poised to Outperform: (Bloomberg Radio Podcast)

Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 12/11/2019

The Bond Buyer – State credits stable in 2020 outlook

Quoted:Patricia Healy, CFA – 12/06/2019

Media – Press Coverage for the Fourth Annual Financial Literacy Day: Understanding Global Markets and Finance Event at USF Sarasota-Manatee

Quoted:Cumberland Advisors – 12/05/2019

Barron’s – Are Trump’s New Trade Threats Just the Art of the Deal? Analysts See Reason to Worry

Quoted:David R. Kotok – 12/05/2019

Business Observer & Sarasota Magazine – Cumberland Advisors Names Todd Engelhardt Regional Director of Investments

Quoted:Todd Engelhardt – 12/05/2019

CNN Business – Tariff Man keeps coming back because trade wars aren’t easy to win

Quoted:David R. Kotok – 12/03/2019

Cumberland Advisors Chairman David Kotok discusses London businesses and markets amid Brexit tensions. He also discusses China and how global markets and trade have changed.


David R. Kotok offers this ongoing series of “Year-End & 2020 Forecast Notes” for your consideration.

Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Year-End-&-2020-Forecast-Notes

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #4: Inflation

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 6, 2019

The outlook for inflation and for inflation-sensitive financial instruments is still highly uncertain. Note that this prognosis includes TIPS on the bond side and certain inflation-sensitive stock groups on the equity side. The world’s mature economies have been trying to get inflation up to 2% or higher for many years. They’ve had no success. An [Continued…]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #3: Potential Volatility Driven by US Politics

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 5, 2019

US politics will be a closely watched, bubbling pot in 2020, and the media will boil over every news item. That said, it is Super Tuesday (March 3) which becomes the key date for Democrats. Republican challengers to Trump seem to be non-starters as best as we can determine. Perhaps the New Hampshire or Massachusetts [Continued…]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #2: A Vulnerable Trajectory for Stock Prices

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 4, 2019

In addition to Trade War uncertainty, US stock markets must grapple with problematic earnings estimates for 2020. Typical year-start estimates are higher than actual outcomes, as a bias toward optimism appears around the year-end holiday time. A good example is 2019, when year-start estimates for the S&P 500 were in the $174–178 range. The actual [Continued…]

The MoneyShow Orlando 2020

John Mousseau at the Money Show Orlando

John R. Mousseau, CFA, will be joining a large gathering of members of Wall Street’s financial community in Orlando this winter season for The MoneyShow Orlando 2020. The three days of the conference will focus on new investment ideas that address the current economic and geopolitical environment and will feature tools, strategies, and advice which may help you better position your portfolio.

John will be a featured speaker, giving a review of the bond market in the past year (2019) and what we should expect from the bond market in a presidential election year.

To join John in February 2020 or learn more, please visit:


Collecting toys for girls & boys!

Some of the Cumberland Crew pose with toys we’ve collected that will benefit the 12th Judicial Circuit of Florida’s Guardian ad Litem program. There are currently more than 1,500 children from throughout Sarasota, Manatee and DeSoto counties who have been removed from their homes due to no fault of their own and as such, appointed a Guardian ad Litem. We’re proud to support this program and the children in our community.
Cumberland Advisors Toy Drive
Thanks to everyone that participates in community service projects, you make the world a better place!!!

Cumberland Advisors Chairman David Kotok discusses London businesses and markets amid Brexit tensions. He also discusses China and how global markets and trade have changed.

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.

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