The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch this week’s video in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/yZ4V2pMTIAk
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: William Witherell, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/28/2020 read more
Quoted: Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/27/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/20/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: William Witherell, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/07/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
On the day of Chairman Powell’s opening speech for this year’s virtual annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, hosted by the Kansas City Fed, the Federal Reserve released an update to its January 2012 “Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy.” This commentary describes the changes in the strategy and discusses what may be […]
In the Indian Ocean they are called cyclones, in the Pacific Ocean, typhoons. The latter term comes from the Chinese tai fung, which translates as “great wind.” The Kʼicheʼ Mayans called their god of wind, storm, and fire Hurakan. European colonists adopted the word, and it became hurricane. (Source: A Furious Sky: The Five-Hundred-Year History of America’s […]
Insider trading often refers to acting on material nonpublic information. However, when company employees buy and sell their own stocks, it is also called insider trading, which is permitted by the SEC. We will only discuss the second type of insider trading today. As many investors have wondered, is it a fair game for outsiders […]
My friend Christopher Whalen has written an excellent commentary on the ongoing debate about LIBOR versus SOFR (the secured overnight funding rate). Here’s the link to his publicly available essay: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/libor-is-dead-long-live-sofr-really. We recommend Chris’s analysis as a “five-star must-read” for any investor, banker, credit officer, analyst, or student of monetary economics and policy. LIBOR still […]
We’ve prepared a series of Beveridge curve graphics so that readers can see the dramatic changes in the composition and direction of various labor-force-related measures. We are using a visual Beveridge curve approach. The charts (30 of them) are available from our website. Below is the link. https://cumber.com/pdf/Beveridge-Curves-Covid-Aug-2020.pdf The 30 charts are graphic and dramatic […]
The Japanese economy, the globe’s third largest (following those of the US and China), shrank by a record 7.8% in the second quarter. This decline was less than the 9.5% fall in the US economy and the 10.1% drop in the German economy. However, it was more than double neighboring South Korea’s 3.3% drop. Taiwan’s […]
During an August 14, 2020, lecture at the Center for Financial Stability, Charles Goodhart (former member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee and professor at the London School of Economics) mused about the US’s current economic slowdown and the prospects for inflation that might result because of the extraordinary increase in the money […]
The US presidential race may be tighter than many think. Let’s survey diverse perspectives on the race, its issues, and its market implications, starting with Nate Silver’s August 16 analysis at FiveThirtyEight. 1. Nate Silver explains his thesis, that a Trump win cannot be counted out: “While the polls have been stable so far this […]
On July 29, I posed questions to readers in a commentary titled “US Stock Market Sectors and Gainesville, Florida,” https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-us-stock-market-sectors-gainesville-florida/. News had just broken about University of Florida Health anesthesiology residents and one fellow who had contracted COVID-19 infections at an off-campus party (“18 in UF Health anesthesiology contract virus after party,” https://www.gainesville.com/news/20200727/18-in-uf-health-anesthesiology-contract-virus-after-party). I asked, “Should the school […]
Dear Readers: This is an appeal to Democrats, Republicans, and Independents, House Members and Senators, and including those on the far right and on the far left of American politics. The nation needs you to set aside the partisan politics. Students, their teachers, businesses, investors, the retired, the unemployed, the charities, state and local governments, […]
Each month, the BLS produces a wealth of data from both its household survey and its establishment survey. The latter, in particular, gives us a view of where jobs are actually being created during this terrible pandemic. Normally, the data widely cited from these surveys are seasonally adjusted, but for our purposes we will look […]
Cumberland Advisors was the 2019 Professional Services Business of the Year winner, and we’re happy to share and congratulate this year’s 2020 Frank G. Berlin Sr. Small Business Award winners from the Greater Sarasota Chamber.
Story at Sarasota Herald Tribune: https://www.heraldtribune.com/story/business/2020/08/28/small-businesses-feted-sarasota-chamber-commerce/5647676002/
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
-I have a chart to share with you
-NASDAQ, QQQ, Qs!
-Weeks of backing and filling before this move higher
-Don’t get distracted and off-course. What really determines price in equities is supply and demand
-Demand for high-quality, high-growth, large-cap names is very solid right now
-The amount of liquidity in the environment right now has been looking for a home
-Sometimes that liquidity finds a home in an area that can pay you two, two 1/2% in dividend yield vs. a ten year at 60-65 basis points. This makes things very attractive on the equity side.
-One thing we know: there will be volatility, ups, downs, rips higher & dips lower
-If value can help out growth, that’s very solid breath in the market
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch this week’s video in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/NSQ4xtkd4RI
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/20/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: William Witherell, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/07/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/31/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/30/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/24/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/23/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/16/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
We track many spreads at Cumberland and circulate a key summary of them every morning. For this public commentary I extracted the ones you see below (the last 7 items are the key ones to examine) because they help tell the story of how the Fed’s activities have decreased risk pricing in the financial markets. […]
Consider a place that has had only 476 Covid-19 cases and just 7 deaths. This sounds like a rural town in the US with a small population and good access to medical care. Actually, it is Taiwan, a small country in Asia with a very dense population of 23.6 million people, situated about 100 miles […]
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
Cumberland Advisors’ David R. Kotok notes there is some positive movement toward normalization on the diplomacy and trade front between the United States and China. He touches on supply chains, COVID-19, how our political systems differ, and how our generations of millennials are positioned for the future.
Posted on: 08/20/2020
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/NSQ4xtkd4RI
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/15/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: William Witherell, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/07/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/31/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/30/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/24/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/23/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/16/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
We track many spreads at Cumberland and circulate a key summary of them every morning. For this public commentary I extracted the ones you see below (the last 7 items are the key ones to examine) because they help tell the story of how the Fed’s activities have decreased risk pricing in the financial markets. […]
Consider a place that has had only 476 Covid-19 cases and just 7 deaths. This sounds like a rural town in the US with a small population and good access to medical care. Actually, it is Taiwan, a small country in Asia with a very dense population of 23.6 million people, situated about 100 miles […]
“The first time it’s a novelty. The second time, people know what they’re in for and are less willing to take another hit. The virus is exposing socioeconomic fault lines: it’s harder to stay home with a head cold if you work casual shifts for minimum wage and can’t afford to miss a few days.” […]
Some Thoughts for a Sunday Morning #1 – Two quotes from Tocqueville: “Liberty cannot be established without morality, nor morality without faith” (Democracy in America, http://libertytree.ca/quotes/Alexis.de.Tocqueville.Quote.8AF2). “The greatness of America lies not in being more enlightened than any other nation, but rather in her ability to repair her faults” (Democracy in America, https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Alexis_de_Tocqueville). #2 – […]
For the next 100 days or so, the growing focus on the US election may drive news flows and alter markets. Remember, though, there is a chasm between what polls are saying now and what markets are pricing as expectations for tomorrow. Most market agents are looking at 2021 and are now focused on a […]
We were about to publish this commentary on the American stock market sectors when a news item about the healthcare sector crossed our screen. So we have decided to lead with it and then go to the stock market. Here is a fresh report about behavior and its consequences at a medical school in Gainesville, […]
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/Tmpupfrwnfg
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 08/08/2020 read more
Quoted: William Witherell, Ph.D. | Posted on: 08/07/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/31/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/30/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/24/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/23/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/16/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
We track many spreads at Cumberland and circulate a key summary of them every morning. For this public commentary I extracted the ones you see below (the last 7 items are the key ones to examine) because they help tell the story of how the Fed’s activities have decreased risk pricing in the financial markets. […]
Consider a place that has had only 476 Covid-19 cases and just 7 deaths. This sounds like a rural town in the US with a small population and good access to medical care. Actually, it is Taiwan, a small country in Asia with a very dense population of 23.6 million people, situated about 100 miles […]
“The first time it’s a novelty. The second time, people know what they’re in for and are less willing to take another hit. The virus is exposing socioeconomic fault lines: it’s harder to stay home with a head cold if you work casual shifts for minimum wage and can’t afford to miss a few days.” […]
Some Thoughts for a Sunday Morning #1 – Two quotes from Tocqueville: “Liberty cannot be established without morality, nor morality without faith” (Democracy in America, http://libertytree.ca/quotes/Alexis.de.Tocqueville.Quote.8AF2). “The greatness of America lies not in being more enlightened than any other nation, but rather in her ability to repair her faults” (Democracy in America, https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Alexis_de_Tocqueville). #2 – […]
For the next 100 days or so, the growing focus on the US election may drive news flows and alter markets. Remember, though, there is a chasm between what polls are saying now and what markets are pricing as expectations for tomorrow. Most market agents are looking at 2021 and are now focused on a […]
We were about to publish this commentary on the American stock market sectors when a news item about the healthcare sector crossed our screen. So we have decided to lead with it and then go to the stock market. Here is a fresh report about behavior and its consequences at a medical school in Gainesville, […]
“In practice, the Fed has never adopted operating procedures designed to control reserves in order to use the money multiplier relationship to control deposits.” (Goodfriend and Hargraves, “A Historical Assessment of the Rationales and Functions of Reserve Requirements,” Source: https://www.richmondfed.org) In response to the pandemic crisis, the Federal Reserve has cut the federal funds rate […]
Details on offerings and takedowns are interesting and provide clues as to the state of liquidity, even given the large volume of Treasuries coming to market.
A Duel Over Data (Or, Three Cheers for Rebekah Jones) On April 20, 2020, Dr. Deborah Birx, response coordinator for the White House Coronavirus Task Force, praised the Florida Department of Health website for its useful detail: “The Florida Department of Health’s website is extraordinary, and this is what every department of health should have…. […]
In its 30th year, the Frank G. Berlin Sr. Foundation Small Business Awards recognizes member businesses with locally owned and operated businesses. Cumberland Advisors was recognized last year as the “Professional Services Business of the year” for 2019 and we wish the 2020 finalists continued success and luck for this year’s selection. The Sarasota Chamber will conduct the event virtually on August 28th from 12 p.m. to 1 p.m. Details here: https://www.sarasotachamber.com/2020-virtual-sba.html
“July 3, 2019 – Sarasota, Florida – On Friday, June 14, 2019, business and community leaders gathered for the 29th Frank G. Berlin, Sr. Small Business Awards, presented by the Herald Tribune Media Group. Three finalists were selected across five categories: Hospitality and Tourism, Non-Profit, Products and Services, Retail and Professional Services. We are honored to share that Cumberland Advisors was selected as the winner within the Professional Services category. ”
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
– John give us various rates for a big picture view of muniland
– He also discusses government relief for industries and local/state governments
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/L0ahbGPDjZE
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/31/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/30/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/24/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/23/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/16/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/12/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/08/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/01/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
For the next 100 days or so, the growing focus on the US election may drive news flows and alter markets. Remember, though, there is a chasm between what polls are saying now and what markets are pricing as expectations for tomorrow. Most market agents are looking at 2021 and are now focused on a […]
We were about to publish this commentary on the American stock market sectors when a news item about the healthcare sector crossed our screen. So we have decided to lead with it and then go to the stock market. Here is a fresh report about behavior and its consequences at a medical school in Gainesville, […]
“In practice, the Fed has never adopted operating procedures designed to control reserves in order to use the money multiplier relationship to control deposits.” (Goodfriend and Hargraves, “A Historical Assessment of the Rationales and Functions of Reserve Requirements,” Source: https://www.richmondfed.org) In response to the pandemic crisis, the Federal Reserve has cut the federal funds rate […]
Details on offerings and takedowns are interesting and provide clues as to the state of liquidity, even given the large volume of Treasuries coming to market.
A Duel Over Data (Or, Three Cheers for Rebekah Jones) On April 20, 2020, Dr. Deborah Birx, response coordinator for the White House Coronavirus Task Force, praised the Florida Department of Health website for its useful detail: “The Florida Department of Health’s website is extraordinary, and this is what every department of health should have…. […]
There are many prescriptions and forecast models for a coming inflation or the lack of it. They range widely. Some forecasts include deflation. Inflation adjusted bonds (like TIPS) are currently priced for very low inflation. Nominal bond markets are saying that little to no inflation is expected. That is why high grade bonds are pricing […]
The extraordinary and massive COVID-19 economic shock has triggered another first-time action by our nation’s central bank. The Fed now has expanded a facility directed at lending to nonprofits. Among those nonprofits targeted are “educational institutions, hospitals, and social service organizations.” Here’s the link to the July 17 press release announcing the modification of the […]
China’s economy, the second largest in the world after that of the United States, is recovering from a sharp slowdown in the first quarter of the year. The first estimate of the annualized second-quarter GDP growth rate is +3.2% versus 2.4% expected, a strong reversal from -6.8% in the first quarter. The advance indicates that […]
Last Sunday morning we offered readers “The Room Where It Happened” (https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-the-room-where-it-happened/). We thank many readers for their kind replies. Here are just a few. Harvey wrote: “All I can say is, patience is a virtue, along with not wanting to spend hundreds to see a play, no matter how well done, when we knew […]
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
This week we’re all practicing some extra social distancing and working from home. Our video production quality isn’t top tier, however we still want to get our market updates out to you.
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
– Lower Treasury Yields
– Why? Concern over spread of virus in the southern states.
– Good news: vaccines are hopeful giving a boost to markets
– Muni Yields are down a little this week
– Good subscription on new deals
– Looking to see what congress will pass in next phase of coronavirus relief
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
– Continued recent rotation into value vs. growth as well as a bit of demand for small/mid-cap.
– Pull back late in week is welcome to create opportunities as tech & healthcare had become crowded.
– Pullbacks let traders observe which securities are showing superior relative strength.
David Kotok on the Virus and Markets
– Tensions with China are affecting markets
– Where will China relations be next year?
– An uncertainty premium is rising in markets
– This may present a great investment opportunity, we’ll be watching things closely
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/8Mo9CdoxVNA
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Posted on: 07/25/2020
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Dear Clients & Friends,
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer, David Kotok, and John Mousseau, CFA.
Matt McAleer on ETFs & Equities
John Mousseau’s Update on the Fixed Income Market
– A quiet summer-like week in the bond market
– Deals that came this week were fairly well subscribed
– The deals that get the most subscriptions now are the smaller deals that tend to come cheaper and they still can get 5, 6, 7 times oversubscribed
– As we move forward, we expect to see more deals to come to market
– We think issuers will come to market with some higher yields as the year moves forward
– New Jersey announced this week that they seek to raise $10B, New York seeks $11B through shorter and longer term deals. There will be some give on the deals based upon their size.
– We’re probably going to see this in other states as a result of coronavirus relapses and the negative effects on commerce
– Things to watch next week:
* We’ll be on the lookout for initial and continuing jobless claims
* Congress is still debating over new stimulus on behalf of state and local governments
David Kotok on the Virus and Markets
– We need effective vaccines and treatments
– Until then, we need the truth
Please reach out with any questions/comments you may have about this update; we appreciate your calls, comments, and emails. Watch in the player above or at this link: https://youtu.be/3tJRuiQMKVU
Stay safe, healthy, and have a great weekend.
-Matt McAleer & Cumberland Advisors
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/16/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 07/12/2020 read more
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/08/2020 read more
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/01/2020 read more
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 06/29/2020 read more
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
John Mousseau did a live (online) presentation with Oxford University on Monday June 29th about insights on the bond markets, the macroeconomic landscape, and his take on potential career choices for students interested in finance and investing. His presentation topic was: Bond Markets Through the Virus Analysis of Treasury, Taxable and Municipal Markets Analysis of Fed […]
You might have noticed that there has been quite a flap lately about the idea that COVID-19 may be transmitted through the air. But isn’t that old news? Haven’t we recognized from the outset that we needed to distance ourselves from one another to minimize airborne spread of the virus? Yes, but we were talking […]
“The Room Where It Happened” is a popular theme these days. Not just the book (surprise, surprise!), but also the song. Let’s use this missive to talk about it. Now that the Disney Channel has made the $1000-per-ticket version of Hamilton available for those with a lesser budget ($6.99), this marvelously imaginative theatre creation belongs on the […]
The Federal Reserve continues to support financial markets, including the commercial paper market, the repo market, the municipal securities market, money market mutual funds, central bank liquidity swaps, and primary dealers. This is in addition to the usual discount window facility that provides credit to commercial banks. In many cases there are either published maximums […]
With honor and gratitude, we wish to introduce Paul Schulte, the founder of Singapore-based Schulte Research. His expertise in finance and technology are sought globally by serious investing institutions. We thank Paul for agreeing to answer a few questions in a Q&A.
Forty-three percent of US COVID-19 deaths are linked to nursing homes. State figures range from a high of 80% in New Hampshire and 77% in Minnesota down to 27% in Nevada and 34% in Nebraska and Tennessee. See both “43% of U.S. Coronavirus Deaths Are Linked to Nursing Homes,” New York Times, June 27, 2020, […]
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer, and John Mousseau, CFA.
-Matt McAleer
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Quoted: Shaun Burgess | Posted on: 07/08/2020 READ MORE
Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA | Posted on: 07/01/2020 READ MORE
Quoted: David R. Kotok | Posted on: 06/29/2020 READ MORE
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
The Federal Reserve continues to support financial markets, including the commercial paper market, the repo market, the municipal securities market, money market mutual funds, central bank liquidity swaps, and primary dealers. This is in addition to the usual discount window facility that provides credit to commercial banks. In many cases there are either published maximums […]
With honor and gratitude, we wish to introduce Paul Schulte, the founder of Singapore-based Schulte Research. His expertise in finance and technology are sought globally by serious investing institutions. We thank Paul for agreeing to answer a few questions in a Q&A.
Forty-three percent of US COVID-19 deaths are linked to nursing homes. State figures range from a high of 80% in New Hampshire and 77% in Minnesota down to 27% in Nevada and 34% in Nebraska and Tennessee. See both “43% of U.S. Coronavirus Deaths Are Linked to Nursing Homes,” New York Times, June 27, 2020, […]
On June 15, the Federal Reserve published revised terms and conditions for what it calls its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, which is a special-purpose vehicle (SPV) created to purchase in the secondary market corporate debt that meets certain eligibility requirements. See https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/secondary-market-corporate-credit-facility/secondary-market-corporate-credit-facility-terms-and-conditions. Included will be individual corporate bonds, certain exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and bond […]
We celebrate America’s birthdate on July 4. For the great document declaring our independence to become a new kind of nation, we say “thank you” to Thomas Jefferson, author, and Benjamin Franklin, editorial consultant. During a seminar years ago at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, I was fortunate enough to participate in a lengthy […]
In January 1944, General Eisenhower’s headquarters sent a top secret message to the US military’s weather planning service. It said something like, “We need your long-range weather forecast for June 1–10, 1944, for the coastal regions of Normandy.” The weather service […]
As we come to the end of the second quarter of 2020, the pandemic is still with us, with cases are rising in the South and the West in a resurgence of the virus, amid further issues involving social […]
In this 2020 political year, the issues, including COVID-19 and the Black Lives Matter protests, have political forecasts about as complex and difficult as anyone can imagine. An intensely divided country only adds to the complexity. Current polling notwithstanding, we still […]
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
Posted on: 07/11/2020
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
As part of Cumberland Advisors’ continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week’s short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
Thank you for joining Cumberland Advisors for this end-of-week update on market conditions, bonds & equities with Matt McAleer, and John Moussea, CFA.
-Matt McAleer
Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt’s Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013
Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.
Contact Matt or any one of our advisors by following this link: https://www.cumber.com/our-people/
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit https://www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
In January 1944, General Eisenhower’s headquarters sent a top secret message to the US military’s weather planning service. It said something like, “We need your long-range weather forecast for June 1–10, 1944, for the coastal regions of Normandy.” The weather service […]
As we come to the end of the second quarter of 2020, the pandemic is still with us, with cases are rising in the South and the West in a resurgence of the virus, amid further issues involving social […]
In this 2020 political year, the issues, including COVID-19 and the Black Lives Matter protests, have political forecasts about as complex and difficult as anyone can imagine. An intensely divided country only adds to the complexity. Current polling notwithstanding, we still […]
“That is the biggest one I’ve ever seen,” said Ray Sockabasin. I agreed. We had finally gotten the large fish into the net and were holding him next to the canoe but keeping him in the water. “I wonder what it weighs?” Ray’s scale […]
Bill Witherell, Ph.D. Chief Global Economist & Portfolio Manager Email | Bio There are sharp differences in the way countries have responded to the global pandemic caused by the COVID-19 virus. A comparison of the recent experiences of South Korea, widely recognized as having the best organized COVID-19 defense, and Brazil, a strong contender for [Continued…]
We’ve been compiling responses to our commentary on Forrest Gump’s advice. For those who missed it, here’s the link: https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-commentary-forrest-gumps-advice/. Now some quotes from readers. Bruce wrote: “Thanks for your Forrest Gump moment. Your most revealing sentence in all of this missive is ‘people are now required to take full responsibility for their own personal […]
Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are provided only as a reference and courtesy to our users. Cumberland Advisors has no control over such websites, does not recommend or endorse any opinions, ideas, products, information, or content of such sites, and makes no warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, reliability or suitability of their content. Cumberland Advisors hereby disclaims liability for any information, materials, products or services posted or offered at any of the Third-Party websites. The Third-Party may have a privacy and/or security policy different from that of Cumberland Advisors. Therefore, please refer to the specific privacy and security policies of the Third-Party when accessing their websites.
Sign up for our FREE Cumberland Market Commentaries
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
Posted on: 07/04/2020