Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Narrow Banks
Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: April 17, 2020
In a move largely overlooked due to the virus pandemic, on March 25, Judge Andrew L. Carter, Jr., of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York dismissed a case filed by principals of The Narrow Bank (TNB) against the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (https://www.tnbusa.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/2020.03.25-TNB-Order.pdf). What is The Narrow [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Fed Goes to War
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 16, 2020
The April 12, 2020, posting on the Money, Banking and Financial Markets site, entitled “The Fed Goes to War: Part 3,” expands on the discussion of the extraordinary measures taken recently by the Federal Reserve. Let me offer a personal endorsement: I find the site consistently and exceptionally helpful. Much has already been written about about this expansion of the Fed’s arsenal and the list of new facilities. Essentially, the playbook for last decade’s Great Financial Crisis has been reopened, and a whole new set of tools has been added. [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – A Very British Affair — Living with COVID-19 in the UK
Author: Kevin Humphreys, Post Date: April 15, 2020
Kevin Humphreys is a long-time commentary subscriber from the other side of the pond. He is a London-based independent financial market analyst and commentator with 23 years of trading and management in tier 1 UK banks followed by another 10 years in broking, management and market analysis roles, specializing in Eurozone and UK markets. Kevin [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Governors and the States
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 13, 2020
“Governor Gavin Newsom said that he would use the bulk purchasing power of California ‘as a nation-state’ to acquire the hospital supplies that the federal government has failed to provide. If all goes according to plan, Newsom said, California might even ‘export some of those supplies to states in need.’ “‘Nation-state.’ ‘Export.’ “Newsom is accomplishing [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Commentary – The Biblical Rembrandt
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 12, 2020
In Amsterdam in 1632 , a talented young artist, Rembrandt Harmenszoon van Rijn, was commissioned to produce five etchings of biblical scenes. Rembrandt was born in 1606 and this was his breakthrough engagement, at age 26. His patron was Stadtholder Frederik Hendrik, Prince of Orange, the Dutch sovereign. Rembrandt was inspired by Rubens’s altarpiece in [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Repos Revisited
Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: April 9, 2020
On March 12, a Wall Street Journal headline announced, “Fed to Inject $1.5 Trillion in Bid to Prevent ‘Unusual Disruptions’ in Markets” (https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-to-inject-1-5-trillion-in-bid-to-prevent-unusual-disruptions-in-markets-11584033537). The inference was that the Fed was embarking upon a massive injection of funds into short-term money markets. That is, the first three offerings of $500 billion each were but the first [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary – Timely Data Matters
Author: Samuel E. Rines, Post Date: April 8, 2020
My friend and Camp K veteran, Sam Rines ( Chief Economist at Avalon Investment and Advisory), has an excellent discussion on high frequency data and how critical it is in the current environment. He is kind enough to give us permission to share the entire piece entitled, “Timely Data Matters,” with our readers. Thank you, [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – WW2 versus WWC: The Doolittle Moment
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 7, 2020
We’re going to look at World War 2 (WW2) versus the World War COVID-19 (WWC) events now unfolding and see what we can glean about markets, economies, interest rates, inflation rates, and the overall outlook. Let’s start with the stock market. We expect this will be a multi-part series. Below is a chart that shows [Continued…]
The War in Europe
Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: April 3, 2020
During the first quarter of 2020, Europe once again found itself to be in the center of a global war, this time against an invisible, very deadly enemy, the virus SARS-CoV-2, which causes COVID-19. At the end of the quarter, on March 31, the 19 countries of the Eurozone had 359,296 confirmed cases of the [Continued…]
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