Since 1973, Cumberland Advisors has been a trusted source for market expertise, personal service, and individual and institutional money management. We are an independent, fee-for-service money management firm managing over $3 billion in assets.
Excerpt from bloomberg.com article, SALT-Fueled Rally in Muni Market Faces Tax-Day Test By Amanda Albright April 1, 2019 The rally in the $3.8 trillion municipal-bond market is about to face a major tax-season test. All year, analysts have credited the $10,000 cap on state and local tax deductions for driving a record-setting amount of cash […]
Excerpt from the Sarasota Herald Tribune’s article, Mousseau: The SALT (state and local taxes) conundrum There have been headlines recently describing the drop in state tax revenues versus forecasts for some of the higher-tax states such as California, New York, and New Jersey. Part of the falloff is due to an exodus of higher-income residents […]
David Kotok, Chairman & Chief Investment Officer of Cumberland Advisors, on what to expect from the FOMC, balance sheet, and the outlook for bonds and markets. Hosted by Abramowicz and Paul Sweeney. Running time 12:42 LISTEN HERE: Bloomberg Radio NOTE: Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of […]
In a move that caught many observers by surprise, the Federal Oversight and Management Board (FOMB), which was created to oversee the restructuring of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, has requested that Judge Swain invalidate more than $6 billion of the territory’s debt. The move would affect uninsured general-obligation bonds issued in 2012 and after. […]
Has The Municipal Credit Cycle Plateaued? Many positive indicators suggest that the municipal credit cycle has yet to plateau. Upgrades continue to outpace downgrades; the US economy is still growing; federal tax reform boosted revenues in fiscal 2018; and rainy day funds or reserve levels in many localities are strong. However, pressures continue to confront […]
It has been a busy quarter for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Milestones included a conclusion to the Title VI restructuring of the Government Development Bank (GDB) and a plan for the restructuring of the Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation’s (COFINA), as well as the continued rebuilding from the damages wrought by Hurricane Maria […]
After a poor start to the quarter, the Treasury market rebounded nicely over the month of December, providing positive performance across the Treasury curve as the equity market suffered from negative sentiment pertaining to geopolitical risk and concerns over the Fed’s path towards raising short-term interest rates. Political bickering over building “the wall” and threats […]
Today’s municipal bond market is anything but “sleepy,” as Spencer Jakab characterized it in his Wall Street Journal article “Prophet of Muni Market Doom Wasn’t Wrong, Just Early” (10/26/2018). The Prophet of Doom he referred to was Meredith Whitney, who shortly before the financial crisis successfully predicted the damage to Citibank by bad mortgages. In […]
Last week we conducted a review of our California municipal bond holdings along the San Andreas Fault looking for holdings that may be more susceptible to credit deterioration in the event of a disaster. At the time, little did we know that wildfires would engulf large swaths of California. First, our hearts and prayers go […]
Most investors have heard of the “Super Bowl Theory of the Dow.” This theory, first proposed by sportswriter Leonard Koppett in the 1970s, according to Wikipedia, posited that when a team from the “old” NFL (the current NFC, plus the Colts, Browns and Steelers, who joined the AFC in 1970) won the Super Bowl, the […]
