Tag Archives: Employment

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Markets, Events, Economics

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: October 7, 2020
David R. Kotok

Market-moving events and data points are coming fast, and in a chaotic sequence. Here are some bullets we are watching. 1. The outlook for elections is still highly uncertain and volatile. Biden appears to be strengthening. Texas governor Greg Abbott has restricted drop boxes for absentee ballots to one per county (“Texas governor shuts down drop-off […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – JOLTS – July

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: September 16, 2020
Cumberland Advisors' Robert "Bob" Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data come out with a lag, so we are now just getting a look at the July numbers. They do, however, help fill in some of the labor dynamics that are occurring within the economy as we adjust to the COVID-19 pandemic shock. We know that […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Beveridge Curves

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: August 23, 2020
Beveridge Curves Aug 2020

We’ve prepared a series of Beveridge curve graphics so that readers can see the dramatic changes in the composition and direction of various labor-force-related measures. We are using a visual Beveridge curve approach. The charts (30 of them) are available from our website. Below is the link. https://cumber.com/pdf/Beveridge-Curves-Covid-Aug-2020.pdf The 30 charts are graphic and dramatic […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – A Quick Look at Job Creation

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: August 11, 2020
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - A Quick Look at Job Creation (Eisenbeis)

Each month, the BLS produces a wealth of data from both its household survey and its establishment survey. The latter, in particular, gives us a view of where jobs are actually being created during this terrible pandemic. Normally, the data widely cited from these surveys are seasonally adjusted, but for our purposes we will look […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Digging Deeper

Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: June 9, 2020
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Digging Deeper- Who Was and Was Not Employed

On Friday, the Dow bounced over 750 points, reacting to the May employment report. In truth, it seems that participants never read beyond the first sentence, which stated: “Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 2.5 million in May (private sector employment increased 3.1 million while government employment declined by 585 thousand) and the unemployment rate […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Comments on April Job Losses

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: May 11, 2020
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - APRIL JOB LOSSES - TLRwire

Dear readers, Here’s a meaty analysis of the Friday employment report.  Please note the link will take you to a $27 a month trial.  After you read this report, you may find it worthwhile. Please note: I’m a paying subscriber. Enjoy. -David COMMENTS ON APRIL JOB LOSSES TLR Analytics An appalling employment report, reflecting massive […]

‘That was shocking’: Strong job gains give GOP extra fuel heading into Election Day

Author: , Post Date: November 5, 2018
Cumberland-Advisors-David-Kotok-In-The-News

Excerpt from The Washington Post, ‘That was shocking’: Strong job gains give GOP extra fuel heading into Election Day By Heather Long and Danielle Paquette November 2, 2018 Hiring surged and wages grew more than they have in almost a decade, the government said Friday in a report seized on by Republicans just before the […]