Since 1973, Cumberland Advisors has been a trusted source for market expertise, personal service, and individual and institutional money management. We are an independent, fee-for-service money management firm managing over $3 billion in assets.
Excerpt from Barron’s: Population Growth Is Slowing. Why That’s a Problem for the U.S. Economy December 31, 2020 Dec. 28: As we enter 2021, we are very focused on the Jan. 5 Senate runoffs in Georgia. A Democratic victory in both races puts that party in control of both houses of Congress, along with a […]
In Part 4 of our series on interest rates and yield curve control, we will examine two charts and two related tables to help explain yield curve control and implications for the Treasurys market. The first three parts are available here: Part 1, https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-1/ Part 2, https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-2/ Part 3, https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-3/. The first chart and table […]
To understand US interest rates and how yield curve control works, it is critical to consider the effects of negative interest rates coupled with yield curve control, as already applied outside the US. We have written several times about the impact of negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on worldwide interest rates. In the current pandemic […]
This is part 2 in a series on interest rates and yield curve controls. Here’s the link to part 1: https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-1/ First, we want to thank BCA Research and our friend Caroline Miller, Chief Strategist at BCA, for permission to share their charts. At Cumberland, we use BCA Research. My colleague John Mousseau and I […]
“The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).” Through June 2020, “The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate over the 12 months ending in […]
“A Nasty, Short and Bitter Recession”: An Update First: here’s some very important history; then, the updated forecast! The Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) specializes in “calling cycle turning points in economic growth and inflation” and has a long, exemplary history of getting those forecasts right (https://www.businesscycle.com). Cofounded by the late Geoffrey H. Moore, winner […]
Loretta Mester has a distinguished, multi-decade career with the Federal Reserve. She currently serves as president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, votes on the FOMC, and immerses herself deeply in the issues of America’s banks and financial institutions. She agreed to an extended and detailed hour-long discussion with GIC. Here’s the […]
Inside ETFs – A breakdown of zero interest-rate policy (ZIRP) David Kotok, co-founder of Cumberland Advisors explains what ZIRP means for your clients and why you should pay attention to being at zero. Feb 25, 2020 Links to other websites or electronic media controlled or offered by Third-Parties (non-affiliates of Cumberland Advisors) are […]
The Year 2019 in Bonds recapped by John Mousseau Dec 31, 2019 John R. Mousseau sums up performance for municipal bonds and talks about Cumberland Advisors’ defensive strategy.
David Kotok, Chief Investment Officer/Co-Founder, Cumberland Advisors, joins Chuck Jaffe on his program, Money Life, for an interview about what to expect for 2020. LISTEN BELOW OR AT THE LINK HERE: https://soundcloud.com/user-195074568/david-kotok-discusses-financial-markets-on-money-life-with-chuck-jaffe Like this interview? Listen to a previous 2018 interview David had with Chuck. If you like this interview, many more are to […]
