Tag Archives: municipal credit

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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – COVID-19 and Municipal Credit Quality

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: March 2, 2020
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - COVID-19 and Municipal Credit Quality

Until recently it was unclear if the new coronavirus would reach the United states. Now we have 88 reported cases in the US, at least two without a clear connection to travel to China, and as of Sunday night two deaths; so we feel it is time to comment on the ability of US municipalities […]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – 4Q 2019 Credit Commentary

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: December 30, 2019
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Q4 2019 Municipal Credit Commentary

Pensions, budgets, state ratings, climate adaptation, cybersecurity, and investing   This fourth-quarter commentary continues discussion on key themes of the year. Many of the themes are long-term in nature and reveal the need for governments and businesses to continue to evolve. Pensions, cybersecurity, climate resiliency, evolving demographic changes, and a globalized world as well as […]

Q3 2019 Municipal Credit: Bond Market Dynamics, Natural Disasters, Green Bonds, State Rating Changes, & an Update on Single Ratings

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: October 24, 2019
Muniland - Municipal Credit & Bonds

Municipal bond credit quality remains relatively strong, as indications are still that upgrades are outpacing downgrades. S&P and Moody’s have both recently issued comments that corporate credit quality is weakening. Per S&P, credits rated AAA to B- with negative outlooks or CreditWatch-negative assignments have been increasing, indicating a negative bias. Similarly, Moody’s estimates that the […]

SCOTUS

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: October 1, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - SCOTUS

Readers are invited to check out the background of this case scheduled for SCOTUS at the end of this month: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamble_v._United_States. Here is the Wikipedia summary: “Gamble v. United States is a pending United States Supreme Court case about the separate sovereignty exception to the Double Jeopardy Clause of the Fifth Amendment to the United States […]

Q3 2018 Municipal Credit Commentary

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: September 28, 2018
Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Q3 2018 Municipal Credit Commentary

Updates, budgets, potential future stresses, state ratings, default study, and last but not least, storms Last quarter we focused our 2Q 2018 municipal credit commentary on two SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) rulings. One allows states to collect tax on out-of-state internet sales while the other restricts public unions from requiring that non-union […]

More on Muni Credit

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 3, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by David Kotok

My colleague Patty Healy discussed the muni sector’s credit scoring and status in her recent quarterly commentary. See https://www.cumber.com/q1-2018-municipal-credit/. Readers who missed her missive may want to take a look at it, as it recites lots of evidence of upgrades and downgrades in municipal credit and why they happened. Patty is an expert on municipal credit. Let […]

Q1 2018 Municipal Credit

Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: March 30, 2018
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary by Patricia Healy, CFA

Ratings, Teachers’ Strikes, Pensions, Higher Education During the quarter, Moody’s and S&P reported that upgrades of municipal bonds continued to dominate downgrades in 2017. For S&P it was the sixth year in a row, with California leading the way in the number of upgraded issuers, followed by Florida and Texas. For Moody’s it was the […]