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Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Oct 28, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019)

Cumberland Advisors
Sun Nov 3, 2019

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.

Week In Review

These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.

MATT MCALEER'S WEEKLY RECAP

As part of Cumberland Advisors' continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week's short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.

 


WATCH HERE (or click the embedded player above): https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2019-10-31/think-the-fed-will-be-pat-for-a-while-sys-cumberland-s-eisenbeis-video


Fire and Water


Author: Patricia Healy, Post Date: November 1, 2019

Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - California - A Note on the FiresThe fires engulfing parts of California are feared to become the nation’s worst fire disaster, possibly surpassing 2017 and 2018 fire events. Spurred on by wind gusts of up to 80 mph, this disaster harkens back to Superstorm Sandy, which occurred seven years ago, in October 2012.

Superstorm Sandy soaked the Northeast, and its 80-mph winds caused almost $70 billion in damages per Wikipedia. It was one of the most costly natural disasters ever to hit the United States. The extent of the damage was also a function of the storm’s hitting many densely populated areas that were centers of economic activity. No one yet knows, and it will likely take some time to determine the full cost of the 2019 fires in terms of damages to homes and businesses, lives lost, and the cost of the herculean response by CalFire, municipal fire departments, and others. It is only October, while the deadly Camp fire of 2018 occurred in November, and dry conditions continue to persist. The fires this year, like Superstorm Sandy, have occurred in or near some densely populated areas with high real estate values, many businesses, and intense economic activity.

Continued: https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-fire-and-water/


Camp Kotok Conversations


Camp Kotok alum Ann Berry, Partner, Cornell Capital, joined Rishaad Salamat and Bryan Curtis on Bloomberg's Daybreak Asia. She says there’s more focus on fundamental business performance this earnings season. She goes on to how discussions on trade have changed. You can listen to her October 24, 2019 interview here:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2019-10-24/messages-on-trade-in-last-couple-of-weeks-calmer-radio

Ann Berry Interview on Bloomberg

We invite you to visit our YouTube channel and explore the "Camp Kotok" video playlist. This playlist is comprised of Camp Kotok interviews with guests and "campers" who participate and enjoy sharing with us. We also include panel talks, scenes from the location in Maine, and other snippets we find interesting. Enjoy! #CampKotok

Camp Kotok - Big Lake - Stacked Stones - Conversations from Camp Kotok


What the FOMC Said


Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: November 1, 2019

Federal Reserve - FOMC

Following the FOMC’s announcement of its third consecutive rate cut after its meeting this week, speculation immediately broke out among market participants about whether additional cuts or even rate increases might be on the horizon going into 2020. However, such speculation is probably more noise than substance at this point, since the Committee’s statement was fairly clear and became even more so during Chairman Powell’s press conference. Most commentators noted the change in language from the previous statement to the current one:

“September: As the Committee contemplates the future path of the target range for the federal funds rate, it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion, with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2 percent objective.”

“October: The Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook as it assesses the appropriate path of the target range for the federal funds rate.”

But more important than the differences in the wording of the statements were several things that Chairman Powell made clear during his press conference.

Continued: https://www.cumber.com/what-the-fomc-said/


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