Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.


Market Commentary


Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

  • High-Tech Bubble Valuation? I'm Not So Sure!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue June 11, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - High-Tech Bubble Valuation - I'm Not So Sure! by David R. Kotok

    While respectful citizens observed D-Day commemorations, 80 years on, another invasion occurred on June 6th of this year. Barron’s summarized it like this: Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL) and Nvidia (NVDA) are each worth a little more than $3 trillion. Nvidia’s market capitalization edged past that…
  • Hearts and Bones
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun June 9, 2024

    Hearts and Bones

    Mexico. A remarkable political change yields a government where women head the branches and the presidency and fill other roles. Shortly after Claudia Sheinbaum was elected as the nation's first woman president, another woman was murdered while in her capacity as mayor of a Mexican city. As Paul…
  • Trump Verdict & Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon June 3, 2024

    Trump Verdict & Financial Markets

    I received an email from a retired NY judge, who noted the 574-point rally in the Dow Jones Industrials as a positive response to Trump’s guilty verdict. I disagreed.


  • Doug Kass & Me on Debt & Deficits
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun June 2, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Doug Kass & Me on Debt & Deficits by David R. Kotok

    Doug Kass sent a 12-point missive on May 22, at 6:20 AM EDT. Here’s the title: “12 Frightening Charts and Tables … you will not see them being discussed in the business media today.” Doug was kind enough to give me permission to quote him on the first two items. We are not addressing the other…

  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest May 27 - May 31, 2024
     Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat June 1, 2024


  • Russo-Ukraine War: Guest Comments by Byron Callan
     Author(s): David R. Kotok & Byron Callan | Wed May 29, 2024

    Russo-Ukraine War: Guest Comments by Byron Callan

    Capital Alpha in Washington is one of the finest policy and political forecasting research firms, IMO. Byron Callan is their key defense analyst. He is also a friend and Camp K fishing colleague. Byron examines every state vs. state war since 1937 and recites history and astute observations in…

  • The May FOMC Minutes
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue May 28, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - "The May FOMC Minutes" by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.

    The minutes of the May FOMC meeting emphasized five key points pertaining to inflation risk.  These are the health of the economy, housing prices, productivity, and the balance of risks as far as policy is concerned. The fifth was the negative impact that recent inflation increases had on the…

  • Putin, Ukraine & Me
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 19, 2024

    Putin, Ukraine & Me

    I’m starting today’s commentary with a quote:

  • Tariffs and EVs
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu May 16, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Tariffs and EVs by David R. Kotok

    Peter Boockvar published this sentence before I did, so I will give him the origination credit.

  • Mother's Day
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 12, 2024

    Mother's Day

    I wish all Sunday readers and their mothers the very best celebration of their special day, which was formally established in America by President Woodrow Wilson in 1914:



"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."