Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Profits, GDP, Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun August 11, 2024

    Profits, GDP, Markets


    Profits and GDP help explain the stock market rally of the post-Covid period. 


  • Bonds Go Big
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Wed August 7, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors


    “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”– Herb Stein, former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under Presidents Nixon and Ford 


  • A Weaker Employment Report – Is a Recession Imminent? David Berson's Economic Brief
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Fri August 2, 2024

    Weaker Employment Report


    So, is the economy finally downshifting to the slower pace of trend growth – or are we transitioning from above-trend growth to recession? The 4.3 percent level of the unemployment rate triggers the Sahm Rule.
  • CCC? Not For Me!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun July 28, 2024

    CCC?


    This quote was a lead item in Michael Gayed’s Lead-Lag report on July 24th:


  • More Good Inflation News: David Berson's Economic Brief
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Fri July 26, 2024

    David Berson's Economic Brief


    Inflation about as expected – and that’s probably good enough. The June Personal Income and Outlays report for June showed that consumer spending remained solid, although income was a bit lower than expected. But the key figures were the PCE and core PCE inflation measures.
  • 2024 Cumberland Advisors Markets Mid-Year Outlook
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Mon July 22, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Markets Outlook Mid-Year 2024 by John R. Mousseau


    This is a brief overview of Cumberland Advisors’ thoughts on financial markets as we head into the second half of 2024. We know that there could be some volatility in markets based on this anything-but-normal presidential election year; however, in the end we believe economics will continue to…


  • Uncertainty
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun July 21, 2024

    Uncertainty


    Mr. Market had answered this way about recent uncertainty: “Gimme bad news or gimme good news, but don’t gimme no news.” 


  • Q2 2024 Credit Commentary – And the Year Rolls On
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue July 16, 2024

    Patricia Healy - Q2 2024 Credit Commentary


    The credit cycle does not yet seem to have turned; at worst it is mixed.


  • Trump Assassination Attempt
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon July 15, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Trump Assassination Attempt by David R. Kotok


    The attempted assassination of presumptive presidential nominee and former president Donald Trump is the latest in a historical list. Worldwide, nearly all political parties’ leaders and spokespersons condemned it. From me, personally, any assassination attempt on former President Trump is…


  • France Again!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun July 14, 2024

    France Again!


    The news about any shooting attack on any candidate for any American public office, whether a presidential candidate or a local politician, is disturbing and distressing. There isn’t much more to say since readers are already familiar with the known details.The prepared discussion for today is…


 

 

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Plutarch