Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • December CPI
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Tue January 13, 2026

    December CPI


    December core inflation up a bit less than expected. The December CPI rose by 0.3 percent, keeping the 12-month trend rate at 2.7 percent – exactly as markets expected.
  • Q4 2025 Municipal Credit: The Quarter Was Dotted with Some Memorable Events
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue January 13, 2026

    Q4 2025 Municipal Credit


    Muni credit quality remained strong over the 4th quarter despite some moderating of upgrade activity. Investment grade munis are considered a safe fixed-income investment, with most issuers maintaining strong reserves to help manage through challenges such as changes in federal funding and…
  • A Quick Uptake on the Bond Year 2025
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri January 2, 2026

    Quick Uptake on Bond Year 2025


    As we pull to a close in 2025, we present below the yields on US Treasuries, AA corporates, AAA munis, and the taxable equivalent of AAA munis (using a 37% top federal tax rate) for the end of last year and here on the last day of 2025.
  • Back to Some Real Numbers
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Mon December 22, 2025

    John's 12.22 piece - Year End Econ Numbers


    Santa Claus’s gift to the bond markets last week was some relevant economic numbers after weeks of “old” numbers that were backed up since the government shutdown started on October 1st (and ended on November 12th when Congress passed a funding bill that was signed into law by the President).
  • Excellent Inflation News (and Jobless Claims Weren't Too Bad, Either)
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Thu December 18, 2025

    Excellent Inflation News (and Jobless Claims Weren't Too Bad, Either)


    While the federal government shutdown prevented most of the October inflation survey, the full November survey showed slower price gains from a year ago.
  • An OK Employment Report
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Tue December 16, 2025

    An OK Employment Report_Berson


    The employment report for November and October showed that the private sector continued to add jobs at a modest pace that is probably close to its new trend — with private payrolls up by 52,000 in October and 64,000 in November.
  • Inflation Relatively Stable, But Still Above The Fed's Goal
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Fri December 5, 2025

    Inflation Relatively Stable_12.5


    The delayed September Personal Income and Spending report showed that income and outlays were about as expected — up by 0.4 and 0.3 percent respectively.
  • Government Data Crawling from the Wreckage
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA & David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Mon November 24, 2025

    Government Data Crawling from the Wreckage


    “Crawlin’ from the wreckage, crawlin’ from the wreckage You would think by now at least half my brain would get the message.” – Written by Graham Parker, sung by Dave Edmunds, 1979 We are crawling out of the wreckage of the 43-day government shutdown, which began October 1st. The actual shutdown,…
  • Protecting Seniors: How AI is Changing the Fight Against Healthcare Fraud
     Author(s): Martina Schmidt, Ph.D. | Thu November 20, 2025

    Protecting Seniors:


    What you may not know about healthcare fraud that can protect you in the future.

    The enormous size and scope of the U.S. healthcare system make it an attractive target for fraudulent activity. So far in 2025, the Department of Justice has already uncovered tens of…


  • NYC Mayoral Election 2025
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed November 12, 2025

    NYC Mayoral Election 2025


    The thought of having the lower costs (or no costs) for benefits that mayor-elect Mamdani wants to bestow on the residents of NYC is enticing to many. It seems many desire free benefits, as Mamdani won with just over 50% of the vote. However, the cost of those benefits needs to be borne by…

 

 

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Plutarch