Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Government Data Crawling from the Wreckage
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA & David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Mon November 24, 2025

    Government Data Crawling from the Wreckage


    “Crawlin’ from the wreckage, crawlin’ from the wreckage You would think by now at least half my brain would get the message.” – Written by Graham Parker, sung by Dave Edmunds, 1979 We are crawling out of the wreckage of the 43-day government shutdown, which began October 1st. The actual shutdown,…
  • Protecting Seniors: How AI is Changing the Fight Against Healthcare Fraud
     Author(s): Martina Schmidt, Ph.D. | Thu November 20, 2025

    Protecting Seniors:


    What you may not know about healthcare fraud that can protect you in the future.

    The enormous size and scope of the U.S. healthcare system make it an attractive target for fraudulent activity. So far in 2025, the Department of Justice has already uncovered tens of…


  • NYC Mayoral Election 2025
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed November 12, 2025

    NYC Mayoral Election 2025


    The thought of having the lower costs (or no costs) for benefits that mayor-elect Mamdani wants to bestow on the residents of NYC is enticing to many. It seems many desire free benefits, as Mamdani won with just over 50% of the vote. However, the cost of those benefits needs to be borne by…
  • September Consumer Price Index
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Fri October 24, 2025

    September Consumer Price Index


    Less than expected, but still warm. The September CPI rose by 0.3 percent in September, a bit less than the market's expectations of 0.4 percent. The core CPI (removing the volatile food and energy components) also climbed slightly less than expected, up by 0.2 percent.
  • Government Shutdowns and the Bond Markets
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Tue October 14, 2025

    Government Shutdowns and the Bond Markets


    The US government began its shutdown on Wednesday October 1st, 2025, when Congress failed to pass appropriations for fiscal year 2026. The standoff continues between the White House and congressional Democrats with the predictable finger-pointing by both parties out front and center. The shutdown…
  • Q3 2025 Credit Commentary – Anticipated Challenges Are Now with Us and Highlighted by the Government Shutdown
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Thu October 9, 2025

    Q3 2025 Credit Commentary


    This may be the quarter that muni credit quality begins to turn. However, munis are an extremely safe asset class and often viewed as a flight to quality product. There have been many more upgrades than downgrades over the past few years, so one might expect the trend to plateau; and then, of…
  • Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. to Acquire Cumberland Advisors
     Author(s): Mark J. Myers, CEO | Thu September 25, 2025

    Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. to Acquire Cumberland Advisors


    Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: MPB) (“Mid Penn”), parent company of Mid Penn Bank, announced today that it has entered into an agreement to acquire Sarasota, FL-based Cumberland Advisors (“Cumberland”).
  • The Muni Summer Rebound
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri September 19, 2025

    The Muni Summer Rebound_9.19


    The tax-free municipal bond market has made a remarkable comeback since late July. The muni market – particularly the longer maturity end has been pressured from a number of angles this year.
  • The Rise of Separately Managed Accounts – Focus on Munis, September 2025
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed September 17, 2025

    The Rise of Separately Managed Accounts


    Cumberland has used separately managed accounts (SMAs) to execute its fixed-income strategies since the company’s inception in 1973, long before SMAs were popularized in the early 2000s.
  • CPI and Weekly Claims
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D., CBE | Thu September 11, 2025

    Berson 9.11.25 Graphic


    Stagflation now. Inflation and unemployment claims both higher with today’s data, a bad combination. . The overall CPI rose by 0.4 percent for August, a bit hotter than expected, bringing the 12-month trend rate up to 2.9 percent,...

 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch