Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Debt Debacle Costs $1 Billion per Day
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri May 26, 2023

    Happy Memorial Day Weekend — Debt Debacle Costs 1 Billion per Day


    I'm pleased to share with you my interview with Ed D’Agostino, Publisher & COO of Global Macro Update. There are also video and audio versions of our conversation available which are linked below. Thank you, David  


  • The Cost of the Debt Ceiling Fight
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue May 23, 2023

    The Cost of the Debt Ceiling Fight


    “One-month Treasury yields remain stubbornly above the current Fed Funds rate, at 5.53 percent versus 5.08 pct. As we have mentioned previously, this is a very unusual occurrence. From 2002 to 2022, 1-month yields averaged 0.13 percentage points lower than Fed Funds, with a standard deviation of…


  • Central Bank Digital Currency
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon May 22, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Central Bank Digital Currency by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    The Florida legislature and Governor DeSantis spent the better part of the first two weeks of May jumping at shadows as they passed and signed a bill (SB7054) to prohibit the use of federally sanctioned central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in Florida as money under Florida’s Uniform…


  • Banks, Fed, Debt Ceiling
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 21, 2023

    Market Commentary\Cumberland-Advisors-Market-Commentary-Sunday-Banks, Fed, Debt Ceiling by-David-R.-Kotok


    I want to start this commentary with a personal statement: The opinion that I articulate at the end of this commentary is my personal view. I have colleagues who agree and also those who disagree. I’m writing this piece in support of the Federal Reserve and the actions it took to avert a serious…


  • A Warning From Credit Spreads
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 17, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - A Warning From Credit Spreads by David R. Kotok


    About a year ago, we published a commentary titled, “A Bond Metric for Stock Markets?” (


  • Cross Channel Competition: UK and France
     Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Mon May 15, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Cross Channel Competition- UK and France by William Witherell, Ph.D.


    The stock markets of the United Kingdom and France are the largest in Europe. The UK and French economies are among the largest in Europe. The two countries on opposite sides of the Channel share a centuries long history of economic and political competition. Their stock markets currently face…


  • More On Banks & Bank Failures
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 14, 2023

    More-On-Banks-&-Bank-Failures-by-David-R.-Kotok


    When we’re all done, things boil down to this: There are three types of banks.  


  • The Inflation Game - Cumberland Advisors' Week in Review
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat May 13, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Week in Review


    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a digest of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication.

     


  • Cryptocurrency and the Future of Global Finance Video Series
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Wed May 10, 2023

    Cryptocurrency and the Future of Global Finance Video Series


    A Cryptocurrency Conference organized by the Global Interdependence Center and hosted by the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee Campus. Speakers explored cryptocurrency in depth through two days of panel discussions including keynote remarks from Christopher J. Waller, Ph.D., Member of…
  • Guest Comments (May 1): Joe McAlinden on JPM & FRC
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue May 9, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Guest Comments (May 1) Joe McAlinden on JPM & FRC - Intro by Kotok


    Joe McAlinden has given us permission to share his excellent discussion (May 1) of JPMorgan and First Republic. We are copying the entire discussion below. We thank Joe for granting permission.  __________   


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch