Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • About Taxes!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue May 2, 2017



    Taxes: some quick bullets.

    Markets like lower taxes. People like lower taxes. Businesses like lower taxes. Devils always lurk in the details: those devils are put there by Congress.

    Congress will lose if it attempts to block a tax cut. Voters understand lower tax rates and want…


  • France and Europe Dodge Bullet, Yet Risks Still Ahead
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D | Sat April 29, 2017



    Markets in France, Europe, and globally are rallying as they breathe a sigh of relief following the first round of the French presidential election on Sunday. The pro-business centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron came in first, beating the far-right National Front candidate, Marine Le Pen. This…


  • Quick Take on Munis and the Trump Plan
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri April 28, 2017



    The Trump administration unveiled their tax plan yesterday, with details to follow. It will take a while to work the plan through Congress but this is our quick take on how the plan affects municipal bonds and municipal finance.


  • Markets and Geography
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed April 26, 2017



    Markets.

    We were fully invested in our US ETF strategies before the weekend French elections. We are still there and overweight financials (banks) and tech. In our volatility strategies we are also fully invested and have been for over a week. These VOL strategies are mathematically…


  • Taxation of Municipal Bonds?
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Fri April 21, 2017



    Is there a threat to the municipal bond interest deduction?


  • Banks
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu April 20, 2017



    As clients know, we have liked and continue to like exposure to banks. We favor the big banks and have a position in the PowerShares KBW Bank Portfolio Fund, KBWB, an ETF that captures the big banks. We also hold KRE and KIE.  We are overweight the sector. We will get to why in a minute.


  • Inflation, Fed, Interest Rates
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue April 18, 2017



    I am scheduled to discuss policy-driven interest rates and other market forces on Bloomberg TV at 8 AM on Tuesday morning. In the meantime, here’s a rundown of the picture as we at Cumberland Advisors see it now.


  • Japan’s Stocks, Economy, and Currency
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D | Thu April 13, 2017



    The recovery of the global economy has continued thus far in 2017, and stock markets have generally registered healthy advances. In the US the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, SPY, gained 5.62 year-to-date April 11 on a total return basis; the iShares MSCI All Country ex-US ETF, ACWX , gained 8.12%; and in…


  • Syria
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat April 8, 2017



    A history lesson may be helpful for those who are younger. Google “Hama.” It is a town (actually was a small city). The existing Syrian president’s father killed 20,000 of his own citizens there in 1982. What makes anyone think the present regime is any different? We must remember that the Assad…


  • North Korea and Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri April 7, 2017



    I read the following excerpt in the morning edition of NightWatch for 4 April (This is a subscription service – for details see https://www.kforcegov.com/products/nightwatch/nightwatchdetails/).


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch