Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • COVID Shock & The Fed
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue March 2, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors – COVID Shock & The Fed


     

    We created the chart below to depict an “underdamped oscillatory system.” Hat tip, Dr. Thomas Synnott III.


  • A Texan and Climate Change!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 28, 2021

    A Texan & Climate Change


     

    Will Rogers, the American icon from Oklahoma said: “There are three kinds of men. The one that learns by reading. The few who learn by observation. The rest of them have to pee on the electric fence for themselves.” This Sunday we’ll offer one of those from the middle category.…


  • Equity Risk Premia
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Wed February 17, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Equity Risk Premia (by Leo Chen)


     

    The US equity market continues to post new all-time highs week after week. While the equity market remains seemingly unstoppable regardless of the lack of fundamental support, many investors wonder how long the Fed-fueled market can go before we have a correction. It would be a…


  • Warren Buffett Indicator
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 16, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Warren Buffett Indicator


     

     


  • Moscow & Presidents Day
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 14, 2021

    Moscow & Presidents Day


     

    America’s January 6th nightmare was replayed for all to see again; previously unknown security video has been added. The Constitutionally prescribed Senate process and the outcome are determined by our system.  And now the national policy debate of who we are and how we…


  • Struggling with the Pandemic and Brexit in the UK
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Fri February 12, 2021

    William "Bill" Witherell, Ph.D.


     

    The timing could not have been worse. The United Kingdom exited the European Union on January 1 in the middle of the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, which was striking the UK with particular force, driven by a new, more infectious strain.

     


  • Don't Fight the Fed -- Yet
     Author(s): Chris Whalen & David R. Kotok | Thu February 11, 2021

    Chris Whalen

     

    My friend Chris Whalen opened his Feb. 9 missive with profound words: “Don't Fight the Fed – Yet” (https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/don-t-fight-the-fed-yet).

    Here’s why we fully concur. Bullets follow.


  • Silver
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed February 10, 2021



    So now we’ve seen an asset-market reaction to the social media trolling regarding silver. Like GameStop, silver became the flavor of the week.


  •  Jobs – January 2021
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue February 9, 2021

    Robert Eisenbeis Ph.D.

     

    Progress in 2021 on one leg of the FOMC’s dual mandate, the jobs situation, has started to be revealed with the release of 5 weeks of data on new unemployment claims for January and the BLS January CES jobs numbers.


  • Cumberland Advisors Commentary - Sir Tom Remembered
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon February 8, 2021



    Remembering Captain Sir Tom Moore

    A cancer survivor recovering from a broken hip, Tom Moore looked for a way to say thanks to his National Health Service (NHS) caregivers in England. In the midst of a pandemic, he pondered the enormity of the need and considered what a 99 year old…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch