Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • FOMC, January 2021
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat January 30, 2021



    To no one’s surprise, the FOMC kept its target range for the federal funds rate at 0–.25% and reaffirmed that it will continue adding to its portfolio at the rate of $120 billion per month, in a mix of at least $80 billion in US Treasuries and $40 billion in agency MBS. The Committee’s statement…


  • ERP & The Stock Market
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat January 30, 2021



    The tall man eats dinner every Tuesday at the same restaurant on 58th St. in NY. He loosens his bowtie after working late on Tuesday nights; he sits at his usual table; he orders the usual meal from the same waiter who has served him for the last 14 years. The waiter, Demetrius, brings the…


  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - The Polar Vortex Is Coming To A State Near You!
     Author(s): Bob Bunting | Fri January 29, 2021



    At Cumberland, we pay attention to weather trends and phenomena since severe weather and the destruction left in its wake can affect municipal bonds and reconstruction efforts may result in new bond offerings to meet repair and improvement costs.

    Bob Bunting, CEO of the Climate Adaptation…


  • COVID Legal liability & Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 27, 2021



    The political debate over COVID-related liabilities of businesses is intense. Companies want a federal shield, which McConnell-McCarthy haven’t been able to get for them. Trial lawyers want an open target, which Pelosi-Schumer haven’t been able to get for them. A bipartisan Senate group was…


  • US vs. China – Competition vs. Conflict
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue January 26, 2021



    China’s economy grew at a 6.5% year-over-year rate in the fourth quarter, bringing growth for the full year 2020 to 2.3%. China’s was the only major economy to expand last year, despite the outbreak of the pandemic and the related economic shutdowns early in the year in China. That positive…


  • Cumberland Advisors Commentary - Palindromes
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon January 25, 2021



    When I was in the first grade, my teacher said, “David, do you know what you are?” She was reading my last name. In the second grade, the same thing happened. By the fifth grade, I could deliver the lecture: “I’m a palindrome.”


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 18, 2021 – Jan 22, 2021)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun January 24, 2021



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Fed Attack Responses
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri January 22, 2021



    Fed Attack Responses


  • Cash!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 20, 2021



    We would like to suggest that readers take time to read Josh Brown’s December 29 column at The Reformed Broker, “How to avoid bear markets” (https://thereformedbroker.com/2020/12/29/how-to-avoid-bear-markets/). We thank Josh’s colleague Barry Ritholtz for including it in the daily …


  • Cumberland Advisors Commentary - A Sunday Potpourri
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon January 18, 2021



    This Sunday morning, we would like to whisk you away from the world of politics for a few minutes.

    First, we’ll consider the outsized consequences of acting without thinking. We thank Bill D. for forwarding this 30-second clip:

    “Why we don’t do fireworks at Christmas,”

    https…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch