Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 30, 2019 - Jan 3, 2020)

Cumberland Advisors
Fri Jan 2, 1970

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.

Week In Review

These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.

CUMBERLAND ADVISORS' WEEKLY RECAP

As part of Cumberland Advisors' continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week's short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.

 

Matt McAleer is on deck to share his week in trading with you along with other thoughts.
* Can't ask for anything more from the broad indexes/sectors across the board
* Even defensive sectors in this rally are acting well
* Good performance in strategies
* Long term risk-reward appears positive
* What concerns us? Sentiment. Equity-only put-call ratios.
* We used to call equity-only put-call ratio speculators, "Janis Joplins" because they were "Busted flat in Baton Rouge"
* Why "Janis Joplins"? Matt explains!
* Is there anything you'd like us to discuss?
* Feel free to forward our videos to other traders and investors that might find them helpful.

Watch in the video player above or at this link: https://www.youtube.com/embed/o5VwjVapUbY

Have a great weekend and thank you for joining us at Cumberland Advisors.

-Matt McAleer

Matt enjoys your feedback. You can reach him at:
-Link to Matt's Email: Matthew.McAleer@Cumber.com
-Link to Matt's Twitter: https://twitter.com/MattMcAleer4
-Link to Matt's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-c-mcaleer/
-Call Matt: (800) 257-7013

Other questions or comments? Email us at info@cumber.com or give us a call at (800) 257-7013.

 


IN THE NEWS

Quoted: David R. Kotok – 12/27/2019

Quoted: David R. Kotok – 12/24/2019

Quoted: John R. Mousseau, CFA – 12/18/2019

Quoted: David R. Kotok – 12/16/2019

Quoted: David R. Kotok – 12/11/2019


Cumberland Advisors Chairman David Kotok discusses London businesses and markets amid Brexit tensions. He also discusses China and how global markets and trade have changed.


MARKET COMMENTARY


David R. Kotok offers this ongoing series of “Year-End & 2020 Forecast Notes” for your consideration.Market Commentary - Cumberland Advisors - Year-End-&-2020-Forecast-Notes

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #7 More gun violence

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 26, 2019

This holiday season has come with ill tidings with respect to gun violence: “At least 28 people were wounded in 3 separate shootings across these 3 states this weekend,” CNN, Dec. 23, 2019, https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/23/us/three-shootings-baltimore-minnesota-chicago/index.html “13 people were shot at a Chicago house party honoring a man killed earlier this year,” CNN, Dec. 22, 2019, https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/22/us/chicago-shooting-sunday/index.html [Continued…]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #4: Inflation

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 6, 2019

The outlook for inflation and for inflation-sensitive financial instruments is still highly uncertain. Note that this prognosis includes TIPS on the bond side and certain inflation-sensitive stock groups on the equity side. The world’s mature economies have been trying to get inflation up to 2% or higher for many years. They’ve had no success. An [Continued…]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #3: Potential Volatility Driven by US Politics

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 5, 2019

US politics will be a closely watched, bubbling pot in 2020, and the media will boil over every news item. That said, it is Super Tuesday (March 3) which becomes the key date for Democrats. Republican challengers to Trump seem to be non-starters as best as we can determine. Perhaps the New Hampshire or Massachusetts [Continued…]

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #2: A Vulnerable Trajectory for Stock Prices

Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 4, 2019

In addition to Trade War uncertainty, US stock markets must grapple with problematic earnings estimates for 2020. Typical year-start estimates are higher than actual outcomes, as a bias toward optimism appears around the year-end holiday time. A good example is 2019, when year-start estimates for the S&P 500 were in the $174–178 range. The actual [Continued…]


The MoneyShow Orlando 2020


John Mousseau at the Money Show Orlando

John R. Mousseau, CFA, will be joining a large gathering of members of Wall Street's financial community in Orlando this winter season for The MoneyShow Orlando 2020. The three days of the conference will focus on new investment ideas that address the current economic and geopolitical environment and will feature tools, strategies, and advice which may help you better position your portfolio.

John will be a featured speaker, giving a review of the bond market in the past year (2019) and what we should expect from the bond market in a presidential election year.

To join John in February 2020 or learn more, please visit: https://conferences.moneyshow.com/moneyshow-orlando/


Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: December 20, 2019

Impeachment, Markets, NIRP, Clark Gable

In the famous 1939 movie Gone with the Wind, Scarlet O’Hara (Vivien Leigh) delivers this poignant entreaty to Rhett Butler (Clark Gable): “Where shall I go? What shall I do?” Rhett counters with the retort, “Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn.” A blockbuster line delivered in just seconds, it has endured for decades. [Continued…]


Collecting toys for girls & boys!

Some of the Cumberland Crew pose with toys we've collected that will benefit the 12th Judicial Circuit of Florida’s Guardian ad Litem program. Happy Holidays to you from all of us at Cumberland Advisors!
Cumberland Advisors Toy Drive



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