The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be of interest to our audience. Your feedback is always welcome.
CUMBERLAND ADVISORS' WEEKLY RECAP
As part of Cumberland Advisors' continuous effort to maintain strong customer relationships, we offer this week's short video discussing current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios.
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Cumberland proposes new cash-flow anticipation note to help issuers fight coronavirus
State and local governments are facing a cash-flow crunch under the present emergency conditions, which limit or eliminate many reveue streams. Cumberland argues that this type of short-term security would help alleviate the problem and let municipalities recover more quickly once the danger had passed and things return to normal.
Full story at The Bond Buyer (paywall): https://www.bondbuyer.com/news/cumberland-proposes-new-cash-flow-anticipation-note-to-help-issuers-fight-coronavirus
More News About Cumberland Advisors Here: https://www.cumber.com/news
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
To read current and past commentaries, visit www.cumber.com/category/market-commentary/
The War in Europe
Author: William Witherell, Ph.D., Post Date: April 3, 2020
During the first quarter of 2020, Europe once again found itself to be in the center of a global war, this time against an invisible, very deadly enemy, the virus SARS-CoV-2, which causes COVID-19. At the end of the quarter, on March 31, the 19 countries of the Eurozone had 359,296 confirmed cases of the [Continued…]
China’s Healthcare & Economy in the Aftermath of COVID-19
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: April 2, 2020
Dear Readers, While the United States and much of the world outside of Asia is still trying to “flatten the curve” in response to the coronavirus pandemic, China is posturing itself for a quick comeback. Can we believe their numbers and agree that their virus-response methodology was effective? USA Today along with Andy Mok, a [Continued…]
A Proposal for the Coronavirus Anticipation Note (CAN)
Author: David R. Kotok & John R. Mousseau, Post Date: April 1, 2020
John Mousseau and I have combined our professional experience with our views of the municipal finance market. With the help of our Cumberland staff, we want to offer a format for immediate assistance designed to address urgent state and local government financing problems. This proposal is only a framework. There are many skilled professionals who [Continued…]
One Less Worry?
Author: Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Post Date: March 31, 2020
It is tempting to focus on the here and now, especially when we are worrying about the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the nation. We are withdrawing from social contact and are concerned about all sources of risks. We have seen reports of people sanitizing cash as one way of [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary – Maybe the World is not Ending!
Author: Michael Drury, Post Date: March 30, 2020
Dear Readers: Mike Drury is past chair of the Global Interdependence Center, a skilled economist and a personal friend. He is not in the “world is coming to the end” camp. He has given me permission to run his entire weekend piece. Enjoy! -David Kotok Will second quarter NOMINAL GDP be positive? (Yes, that is [Continued…]
The Ringling Bridge
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: March 29, 2020
Dear Readers, In Sarasota, when twilight comes to Sarasota Bay, the lighting under the Ringling Bridge is usually rotating and alternating colors. The light used to be too bright, and the glare invaded the night sky. But now, and after enough complaints from locals, the powers that decide these things adopted a less glaring and [Continued…]
Why States Are Not Going to Default from the Coronavirus Fallout
Author: Patricia Healy, CFA, Post Date: March 27, 2020
In our opinion this is a short-term shock, although it will likely change some behaviors for the long term that will need to be monitored. The initial concern is liquidity, not just in the bond market but also at the state level, where tax payment dates have been extended and economically sensitive revenues such as [Continued…]
The Muni Meltdown Timeline (and the Opportunity It Presents)
Author: John R. Mousseau, CFA, Post Date: March 26, 2020 
The Municipal Bond Market has suffered one of the most dramatic back-offs it has ever seen; and it was accomplished in about nine business days. The rise in yields has been dramatic and fierce and had lots of elements to it. This is a quick synopsis of some of the muni meltdown. As of Monday [Continued…]
The CDC Foundation
Author: David R. Kotok, Post Date: March 23, 2020
Dear readers. The CDC Foundation is not widely known. It’s a 501(c)3 that was created by Congress as a special charitable agency. The Foundation works right alongside the CDC and other national health agencies but is an independent charity. It has a special-purpose charter. Its purpose is to respond rapidly to threats like COVID-19 or [Continued…]
Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary – Is There A COVID-19 Signal in Climate Data & Is It Potential Good News for Florida?
Author: Bob Bunting, Post Date: March 20, 2020
Our colleague Bob Bunting, meteorologist, professor, and former executive at both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), is CEO of the Climate Adaptation Center (CAC) here in Sarasota, Florida. Bob has contributed several guest commentaries to Cumberland in recent years, including “It’s Hot and Getting Hotter [Continued…]
No lectern, no PowerPoint. The China Panel is public and in the public domain. The press and public are free to use the video footage and quote the speakers across social media and elsewhere.
The August 2019 China panel held at Camp Kotok packed an extraordinary amount of valuable information into a half hour and is well worth the time you’ll spend to view it: https://youtu.be/Sff0AGPrIJQ
This Camp Kotok talk session features panelists Michael Drury (Chief Economist for McVean Trading & Investments, LLC.), Jonathan D. T. Ward (Founder of Atlas Organization), & Leland Miller (CEO China Beige Book), all offering their take on U.S.-China relations. The panel and audience Q&A are guided by moderator, Lisa McIntire Shaw. <More...>
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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.
