Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Outlook for the 2019 Hurricane Season
     Author(s): Bob Bunting | Wed July 3, 2019



    Bob Bunting brings his established credentials, including being a Director of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research and a Lead Forecast for NOAA, to this guest commentary. He also mentions the Climate Adaptation & Mitigation Center (CAC), of which he is the CEO and which I…


  • Osaka and the DMZ
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon July 1, 2019



    Ceasefire:  An agreement to temporarily stop shooting while trying to reach a truce

    Truce:  A more durable cessation of shooting while antagonists attempt to reconcile differences and reach a peace treaty


  • 2Q2019 Review: Puerto Rico
     Author(s): Shaun Burgess | Sat June 29, 2019



    The second quarter of 2019 has been a busy one for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Milestones mired in controversy, optimism dampened by frustration, and increasing uncertainty have all been part of the experience.


  • Children First
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Sat June 29, 2019



    Since the ’08-’09 financial crisis, it has been astounding to watch as investment pours into Florida's Sarasota-Manatee region. Construction cranes dot the skyline, new housing developments expand beyond the interstate while regional unemployment remains at historic lows.


  • 2Q2019 Review: Total Return Taxfree Municipal Bond: The Big Squeeze
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri June 28, 2019



    The muni bond market has been on a tear so far this year. Not only have yields dropped, but they have dropped relative to US Treasuries across the board.


  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Gold & NIRP
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu June 27, 2019



    Peter Boockvar, a Camp K fisherman and a super-sharp analyst, sent the note and chart below. We thank him for giving us permission to share his note below.


  • 2Q2019 Review: Total Return Taxable Fixed Income
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Wed June 26, 2019



    Treasury yields dropped precipitously throughout the second quarter of 2019, with the biggest decline seen in the short to intermediate maturities. As of 6/20/19 the most sizable decline was in the 2-year Treasury, which dropped 54 bps to 1.724%, while the 30-year Treasury lagged this drop in…


  • The June FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue June 25, 2019



    In the commentary leading up to the June meeting, I argued that some relaxation of the tariff issues with Mexico, combined with relatively good data for the US economy, would make the FOMC’s decision to hold pat on rates relatively easier.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jun 17, 2019 - Jun 21, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun June 23, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • 2Q 2019 Review: International Equity ETF
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Fri June 21, 2019



    In the next-to-last week of the second quarter, the factors that have led to high volatility in the global equity markets during the quarter are still present. Foremost among these are the destabilizing effects of rising trade and technology tensions, which are hurting the manufacturing sectors…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch