Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Feb 03, 2020 - Feb 07, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun February 9, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Wuhan Coverup and Trade. An Update.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri February 7, 2020



    “Chinese officials are hoping the US will agree to some flexibility on pledges in their phase-one trade deal, people familiar with the situation said, as Beijing tries to contain a health crisis that threatens to slow domestic growth with repercussions around the world.


  • China, Asian Stocks, and Coronavirus Risk
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu February 6, 2020



    Beginning in late 2019 through the first half of January, stocks in Asia (excluding Japan), led by the Chinese market, rallied, outperforming most other equity markets. However, the region is now challenged by the spread of a new coronavirus originating in China.


  • A Wuhan Coverup and the Trade Deal?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 4, 2020

    A-Wuhan-Coverup

    We now know that the first person who contracted a mysterious pneumonia in Wuhan actually fell ill on December 1, almost two weeks earlier than Chinese authorities initially claimed.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 27, 2020 - Jan 31, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun February 2, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Impeachment, Markets & 2 Dead Men
     Author(s): | Sat February 1, 2020



    Our strategic, market-oriented view of the impeachment proceedings sets aside the personal views of those in our company. Among our 45 people we are as diverse in our opinions as you would expect. We have Democrats and Republicans, conservatives and liberals, and we have civil discussions among…


  • 2020 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed January 29, 2020



    Because of the impeachment hearings, little if any attention has been or is likely to be paid this week to the first FOMC meeting of 2020, on Tuesday and Wednesday. Chair Powell will give his customary press conference, but attention will likely be focused elsewhere, and for good reason. In our…


  • Cash or No Cash? Optimist, Pessimist or Realist?
     Author(s): | Sat January 25, 2020



    At any given time, there are at least four or five people (and often up to six or seven) working on our ETF trading accounts and strategies. We continually challenge each other as part of our investment process. We debate all points of view, and we freely express differences of opinion. We try…


  • Coronavirus #1 with updated death toll
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 23, 2020



    At Cumberland, we take time to track viral outbreaks for two reasons: (1) Epidemics and pandemics do have market consequences and raise risk, and (2) they can be deadly. SARS, bird flu, Zika, Ebola, and more make the list of outbreaks we have followed closely. In the case of Zika, we wrote a…


  • No Conspiracy at St. Louis Fed.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 22, 2020



    In my opinion the speculation about a conspiracy at the St. Louis Fed may be fodder for internet speculation, but it is simply not true. There is coincidence in timing of unrelated announcements.  We believe it is pure coincidence.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch