Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Repo Market, Monetary Policy, & Liquidity Discussion - An On-Demand Webinar
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun October 6, 2019



    In early September 2019 there was an unusual spike in rates in the repurchase (“repo”) market causing a liquidity squeeze on broker-dealers that use repos to finance their portfolios of Treasury and agency securities.  It remains a mystery as to what catalyzed the liquidity squeeze. …


  • Eurozone Economy Risks A Decline With Divided Central Bank
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Sat October 5, 2019



    The latest September data for the eurozone economy from IHS Markit present a deteriorating picture, with the demand for goods and services falling at its fastest rate in over six years and a deepening recession in manufacturing.


  • Impeachment
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri October 4, 2019



    Impeachment is a political process. We watch it unfold with strenuous claims and counterclaims, as we did with the Nixon and Clinton episodes. We are writing about it because it impacts markets: Political outcomes impact policy, and that is where impeachment intersects markets. With the Clinton…


  • 3Q2019 Review: Puerto Rico
     Author(s): Shaun Burgess | Fri October 4, 2019



    As the third quarter comes to a close, it will go down as one of the most turbulent in recent memory for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Civil unrest led to a number of high-profile resignations as well as to three different individuals holding the title of governor in the span of a week.


  • 3Q2019 Review: Tactical Trend
     Author(s): Matthew McAleer | Thu October 3, 2019



    A flexible investment strategy that strives to analyze multiple asset classes, Tactical Trend strives to provide long term capital appreciation while focusing on risk vs. reward opportunities. Capital is deployed in the primary asset classes exhibiting strong relative strength vs. indexes and…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Sept 23, 2019 - Sept 27, 2019)
     Author(s): | Tue October 1, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • 3Q 2019 Review: Total Return Tax-Free Municipal Bond
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Tue October 1, 2019



    The dramatic drop in Treasury yields at the beginning of August caused the muni market to take a pause in its great relative performance earlier in the year.


  • Repos and Reverse Repos
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat September 28, 2019



    The week of September 16 saw the Federal Reserve Bank of New York inject funds into the repo market in response to an unusual spike in rates that was above the initial target range for the federal funds rate of 2.0–2.25%. (The target rate was lowered to 1.75–2.00% after the close of the FOMC’s…


  • Saudi Attack Part 2
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat September 28, 2019



    “Absent a war or further attacks on Saudi facilities – both of which remain possibilities – this past week’s events now look like a blip in a longer-term bearish pattern for oil prices and stocks. Energy makes up less than 5% of the S&P 500 index’s market cap, the lowest level in at least 40…


  • 3Q2019 Review - Market Volatility ETF
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Fri September 27, 2019



    Although the S&P 500 made new highs after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in 2018 for the first time since the Great Recession, the hawkish rate cut was not enough to sustain the market rally, which was derailed by additional tariffs that President Trump announced on August 1st on $…


 

 

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