Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 24, 2018 - Dec 28, 2018)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 30, 2018



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • Yogi Berra, the Fed’s Balance Sheet, and Liquidity
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 29, 2018



    The story is that the Fed’s quantitative easing program injected large amounts of liquidity into financial markets, causing bond rates to fall and stock prices to accelerate. Consequently, the argument goes that, the shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet through maturity runoff will cause bond…


  • Yogi Berra, the Fed’s Balance Sheet, and Liquidity
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 29, 2018



    The story is that the Fed’s quantitative easing program injected large amounts of liquidity into financial markets, causing bond rates to fall and stock prices to accelerate. Consequently, the argument goes that, the shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet through maturity runoff will cause bond…


  • Happy Holidays!
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Tue December 25, 2018



    We wish all the best to our readers and friends for the holidays. We hope you enjoy some great days with your families and friends and look forward to a prosperous 2019. We wish a great new year for all of you and particularly those less fortunate. And hope everyone in their own ways…


  • More Evidence Supporting a 60/40 Portfolio
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Tue December 25, 2018



    Earlier this summer we wrote about the FY 2017 returns (July 1, 2016 – June 31, 2017) reported in the NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments® (NCSE).[1]


  • Is Climate Warming Creating More Dangerous Hurricanes?
     Author(s): Bob Bunting | Sat December 22, 2018



    Two Hard-Hitting Hurricane Seasons


  • Market Backlash
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 22, 2018



    The Treasury market had priced in a 25-basis-point increase in the FOMC’s target range for federal funds prior to the FOMC’s December 18–19 meeting. The Committee was faced with essentially three policy options: Pause, deliver on the 25-basis-point increase and signal a pause, or deliver on the…


  • Stock Market and Tariff Truce
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 22, 2018



    We constantly get email defending the Trump-Navarro Trade War policy. The critics outnumber the defenders, but we can observe that both sides of this debate are digging in their heels.


  • 4Q 2018 Review: Market Volatility
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Thu December 20, 2018



    From the trade war to the Fed, the fourth quarter of 2018 has been full of uncertainty, which is markets’ least favorite scenario.

     


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch