Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

SUBSCRIBE TO MARKET COMMENTARY
  • Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #1: US–China Trade War
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed December 4, 2019



    In our opinion, investors should not be deceived by any promise of a definitive Trump Trade War settlement. It isn’t in the cards. The best outcome is a truce, and even that will be more like a ceasefire. As of this writing, U.S.-China tariff talks continue, and a phase one trade deal is still…


  • Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries - Year-End & 2020 Forecast Notes by David R. Kotok
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon December 2, 2019



    For your convenience we offer the links below to our series of "Year-End & 2020 Forecast Notes" market commentaries by David R. Kotok.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 25, 2019 - Nov 29, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 1, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • UK Voters’ Dilemma: Johnson or Corbyn?
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu November 28, 2019



    On December 12th, UK voters will participate in a general election to determine the composition of the next government. The manifestos of both the Conservative Party and the Labor Party contain elements that should concern investors.


  • NIRP, Lagarde, Trump, Dickens & Holidays
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue November 26, 2019



    Negative-interest-rate policies (NIRP) have been criticized by some (me included) and pursued by others, including Europeans aligned with former European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi. However, growing numbers of Europeans are becoming disenchanted with NIRP, and some are now…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 18, 2019 - Nov 22, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun November 24, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • The Warren Hedge
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Thu November 21, 2019



    In the past few weeks Senator Elizabeth Warren has risen to be neck and neck with Joe Biden in most of the national polls for the Democratic nomination. In some of the electronic betting polls, though, Warren is ahead of Biden by 5–6 points, depending on the day.


  • Overshadowed?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed November 20, 2019



    Public attention this past week was riveted on the impeachment testimony before the House Intelligence Committee, which totally overshadowed Chairman Powell’s semiannual report and two days of testimony to Congress on monetary policy.


  • Trade War and No Recession
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue November 19, 2019



    The United States has gotten itself into a trade war negotiations mess. (See "How Trump’s Trade War Went From Method to Madness," https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-11-14/how-trump-s-trade-war-went-from-method-to-madness.)


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 11, 2019 - Nov 15, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun November 17, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch