Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • 2020 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed January 29, 2020



    Because of the impeachment hearings, little if any attention has been or is likely to be paid this week to the first FOMC meeting of 2020, on Tuesday and Wednesday. Chair Powell will give his customary press conference, but attention will likely be focused elsewhere, and for good reason. In our…


  • Cash or No Cash? Optimist, Pessimist or Realist?
     Author(s): | Sat January 25, 2020



    At any given time, there are at least four or five people (and often up to six or seven) working on our ETF trading accounts and strategies. We continually challenge each other as part of our investment process. We debate all points of view, and we freely express differences of opinion. We try…


  • Coronavirus #1 with updated death toll
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 23, 2020



    At Cumberland, we take time to track viral outbreaks for two reasons: (1) Epidemics and pandemics do have market consequences and raise risk, and (2) they can be deadly. SARS, bird flu, Zika, Ebola, and more make the list of outbreaks we have followed closely. In the case of Zika, we wrote a…


  • No Conspiracy at St. Louis Fed.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 22, 2020



    In my opinion the speculation about a conspiracy at the St. Louis Fed may be fodder for internet speculation, but it is simply not true. There is coincidence in timing of unrelated announcements.  We believe it is pure coincidence.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 13, 2020 - Jan 17, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun January 19, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Rosenberg Research Report (Jan 06, 2020) - The Year Ahead 2020
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri January 17, 2020



    My friend and fishing buddy David “Rosie” Rosenberg has launched his own eponymous economic consultancy. Here’s his website link: https://www.rosenbergresearch.com.


  • Market Commentary: Puerto Rico Earthquakes - Insult to Injury
     Author(s): | Thu January 16, 2020



    For the people of Puerto Rico, natural disasters have become all too commonplace. Two years ago there was Hurricane Maria, which claimed thousands of lives and caused billions in damages.


  • The Trade Policies
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed January 15, 2020



    Beginning in 2018, in a long sequence of actions, the US enacted tariffs on goods from a number of countries besides just China. In some cases the affected countries responded with their own retaliatory tariffs on US products.


  • 2019: Bonds Roar Back
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Tue January 14, 2020



    2019 saw bond yields turn around from their climb in 2018 and move lower. Since the Federal Reserve changed their language last December to being accommodative and data-driven, we have seen yields across the board come down a lot.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 06, 2020 - Jan 10, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun January 12, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch