Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri August 14, 2020
This is part 2 in a series on interest rates and yield curve controls. Here’s the link to part 1: https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-1/
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed August 12, 2020
Each month, the BLS produces a wealth of data from both its household survey and its establishment survey. The latter, in particular, gives us a view of where jobs are actually being created during this terrible pandemic. Normally, the data widely cited from these surveys are seasonally adjusted,…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue August 11, 2020
“The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).” Through June 2020, “The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA & Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue August 11, 2020
The Northeast continues to clean up from Hurricane Isaias, which swept up the Atlantic coast to New York and parts of New England on Thursday.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon August 10, 2020
“All politics is local,” Tip O’Neill famously observed. (In fact, this former Speaker of the House wrote a book by that title.)
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun August 9, 2020
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri August 7, 2020
We track many spreads at Cumberland and circulate a key summary of them every morning. For this public commentary I extracted the ones you see below (the last 7 items are the key ones to examine) because they help tell the story of how the Fed’s activities have decreased risk pricing in the…
Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu August 6, 2020
Consider a place that has had only 476 Covid-19 cases and just 7 deaths. This sounds like a rural town in the US with a small population and good access to medical care. Actually, it is Taiwan, a small country in Asia with a very dense population of 23.6 million people, situated about 100 miles off…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed August 5, 2020
“The first time it’s a novelty. The second time, people know what they’re in for and are less willing to take another hit. The virus is exposing socioeconomic fault lines: it’s harder to stay home with a head cold if you work casual shifts for minimum wage and can’t afford to…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon August 3, 2020
Some Thoughts for a Sunday Morning
#1 - Two quotes from Tocqueville:
“Liberty cannot be established without morality, nor morality without faith” (Democracy in America, http://libertytree.ca/quotes/Alexis.de.Tocqueville.Quote.8AF2).