Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Saudi-Russia Oil War
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed March 11, 2020



    A quick note about oil. The Saudi-Russia price war means OPEC disarray and a lower oil price for the US.


  • The VIX Spread
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Tue March 10, 2020



    The S&P 500 dropped 11.5% the week before last week, the fastest correction in its history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had two 1000-point drops in that week; the Dow also had four days with 1000-point intraday swings in the past two weeks, making it six out of ten trading days with…


  • Cumberland Advisors Letter to Clients with respect to COVID-19
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Tue March 10, 2020



    To our clients:

    Cumberland Advisors continues to monitor global as well as local developments with respect to COVID-19 (the illness caused by the new coronavirus), while constantly considering changes that may be required to our operations, processes, and systems to ensure continued…


  • Whatever It Takes!
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue March 10, 2020



    Tuesday morning March 9, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced an increase in the current monthly schedule of repo transactions designed to deal with short-term liquidity problems for primary dealers and certain other market participants: from $100 billion to $150 billion in overnight…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Mar 02, 2020 - Mar 06, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon March 9, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Did the Fed Just Waste 50 Basis Points?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat March 7, 2020



    On Tuesday morning, shortly after the market opened, the Fed did what other central banks concerned about the coronavirus didn’t do, and that was cut its policy rate. Not only did it cut the rate, it did so by 50 basis points, dropping its policy rate to the range of 1%–1.25%.


  • Coronavirus Infects Bond Yields
     Author(s): Tom Patterson & John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri March 6, 2020



    The turmoil and volatility in the equity markets is also greatly affecting bond markets, with both taxable and tax-free yields shifting down sharply.


  • Headwinds Confront UK Economy and Stocks
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu March 5, 2020



    UK economic indicators for January looked encouraging. The HIS Markit Composite Purchase Managers Index (PMI), combining measures of manufacturing and service sector activity for the month, rose from 49.3 in December to 53.3, the strongest in 16 months, with a robust increase in new orders.


  • Market's Virus Swoon, ACE2 & Nankai University?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed March 4, 2020



    We invite thoughts from readers about this somewhat technical commentary. But first, please consider what it means when the narrative is controlled by and censored by politicians whether in China, in United States or elsewhere. For many history students, me included, censorship in America is a…


  • COVID-19 and Municipal Credit Quality
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue March 3, 2020



    Until recently it was unclear if the new coronavirus would reach the United states. Now we have 88 reported cases in the US, at least two without a clear connection to travel to China, and as of Sunday night two deaths; so we feel it is time to comment on the ability of US municipalities to…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch