Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Timely Data Matters
     Author(s): Samuel E. Rines | Thu April 9, 2020



    My friend and Camp K veteran, Sam Rines ( Chief Economist at Avalon Investment and Advisory), has an excellent discussion on high frequency data and how critical it is in the current environment. He is kind enough to give us permission to share the entire piece entitled, "Timely Data Matters,"…


  • WW2 versus WWC: The Doolittle Moment
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed April 8, 2020



    We’re going to look at World War 2 (WW2) versus the World War COVID-19 (WWC) events now unfolding and see what we can glean about markets, economies, interest rates, inflation rates, and the overall outlook.


  • Understand Leveraged ETFs*
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Tue April 7, 2020



    The first leveraged ETF was launched in 2006, 13 years after the first ETF was rolled out back in 1993. Although there has been much debate over whether leveraged ETFs add to market volatility and risk, the market size of leveraged ETFs has topped $100 billion since their launch.


  • Wuhan to Pharaoh & 3 Musical Messages
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon April 6, 2020



    We especially thank Gary Shilling and Fred Rossi for help with this list.

    1. Coronavirus. First officially appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019. (We now know it was there in November). It spread through China, then elsewhere in Asia, and now throughout the world.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Mar 30, 2020 - Apr 03, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun April 5, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • The War in Europe
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Sat April 4, 2020



    During the first quarter of 2020, Europe once again found itself to be in the center of a global war, this time against an invisible, very deadly enemy, the virus SARS-CoV-2, which causes COVID-19.


  • China’s Healthcare & Economy in the Aftermath of COVID-19
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri April 3, 2020



    Dear Readers,

    While the United States and much of the world outside of Asia is still trying to "flatten the curve" in response to the coronavirus pandemic, China is posturing itself for a quick comeback. Can we believe their numbers and agree that their virus-response methodology was…


  • A Proposal for the Coronavirus Anticipation Note (CAN)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok & John R. Mousseau | Thu April 2, 2020



    John Mousseau and I have combined our professional experience with our views of the municipal finance market. With the help of our Cumberland staff, we want to offer a format for immediate assistance designed to address urgent state and local government financing problems. This proposal is only…


  • One Less Worry?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed April 1, 2020



    It is tempting to focus on the here and now, especially when we are worrying about the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the nation. We are withdrawing from social contact and are concerned about all sources of risks. We have seen reports of people sanitizing cash…


  • Fed Outstanding Repo Transactions March 2020
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed April 1, 2020



    Fed Outstanding Repo Transactions March 3 - March 31


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch