Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

SUBSCRIBE TO MARKET COMMENTARY
  • CIO Overview & Outlook
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue September 29, 2020



    The second quarter of 2020 saw the worst quarterly decline in economic terms since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The US economy literally fell off the COVID cliff. This downdraft side of a very sharp “V” has already made an economic bottom. (It was foretold by the March 23 low in the stock…


  • Three Super New Moons (#28)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon September 28, 2020



    Sentiment & Statistical Indicators +Three Super New Moons (Item #28)


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Sept 21, 2020 - Sept 25, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun September 27, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Interest Rates and Yield Curve Control, Part 3
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 25, 2020



    To understand US interest rates and how yield curve control works, it is critical to consider the effects of negative interest rates coupled with yield curve control, as already applied outside the US. We have written several times about the impact of negative interest rate…


  • Cumberland Responds to Barron's
     Author(s): David R. Kotok, John R. Mousseau, CFA & Patricia Healy, CFA | Thu September 24, 2020



    Three of us have collaborated on this discussion. Our views are pretty much aligned. We think Congress is hobbling an economic recovery by delaying the funding related to COVID-19 and now, additionally, funding related to the wildfires. We think many municipal entities are under extreme stress.…


  • Wildfire: Correction and Addition
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 23, 2020



    In our recent commentary “Wildfire: More Than a Song” https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-wildfire-more-than-a-song/, we stated that our nation’s federally owned forests “are housed in the Department of the Interior.”


  • Trump and Puerto Rico. Better late than never.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue September 22, 2020



    With much fanfare, on Friday, Sept. 18, President Trump abruptly shifted his policy on rebuilding Puerto Rico. Where he had often disparaged the island’s leaders and opposed rebuilding a power grid and other infrastructure that was destroyed by Hurricane Maria in September 2017, Trump now…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Sept 14, 2020 - Sept 18, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon September 21, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Wildfire: More Than a Song
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon September 21, 2020



    [caption id="attachment_53588" align="aligncenter" width="480"] Fires near the West Coast of the US created this surreal smoky atm


  • FOMC: Hope Now Seems to Be a Strategy
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat September 19, 2020



    The FOMC finished its September deliberations and published its first statement and Summary of Economic Projections (SEPs) since the revision of its policy strategy was announced on the eve of the Kansas City Fed’s annual August Jackson Hole Symposium.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch