Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Sept 28, 2020 - Oct 02, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun October 4, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Hope – An Update
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat October 3, 2020



    Our commentary “FOMC: Hope Now Seems to Be a Strategy” (https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-fomc-hope-now-seems-to-be-a-strategy/) focused on the FOMC’s latest decision to keep its target for the federal funds rate between 0–.25%, to change its strategy for policy going…


  • Taxable Total Return 3rd Quarter Review
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Fri October 2, 2020



    Markets experienced volatility in the third quarter of 2020 as COVID-19 and the looming election continued to drive uncertainty regarding an economic rebound. The net result of the volatility left the Treasury market little changed on the quarter, while spreads on investment-grade corporates and…


  • Beware of Private Equity in Retirement Plans – 3(38) Fiduciary Advisors Are Needed Instead
     Author(s): Michael McNiven, Ph.D. | Thu October 1, 2020



    Over the summer, the private equity industry received a very favorable ruling from the Department of Labor, allowing 401(k) plans to invest in private equity funds. Of course, the private equity industry and their lobbyists have long desired the opportunity to access 401(k) assets, and they are…


  • UK Facing Virus Second Wave and Brexit Deadline
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed September 30, 2020



    United Kingdom stocks are underperforming the Eurozone markets as the nation faces the double challenges of an upsurge in virus infections and time running out in the deadlocked negotiations with the EU on Brexit.


  • CIO Overview & Outlook
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue September 29, 2020



    The second quarter of 2020 saw the worst quarterly decline in economic terms since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The US economy literally fell off the COVID cliff. This downdraft side of a very sharp “V” has already made an economic bottom. (It was foretold by the March 23 low in the stock…


  • Three Super New Moons (#28)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon September 28, 2020



    Sentiment & Statistical Indicators +Three Super New Moons (Item #28)


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Sept 21, 2020 - Sept 25, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun September 27, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Interest Rates and Yield Curve Control, Part 3
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 25, 2020



    To understand US interest rates and how yield curve control works, it is critical to consider the effects of negative interest rates coupled with yield curve control, as already applied outside the US. We have written several times about the impact of negative interest rate…


  • Cumberland Responds to Barron's
     Author(s): David R. Kotok, John R. Mousseau, CFA & Patricia Healy, CFA | Thu September 24, 2020



    Three of us have collaborated on this discussion. Our views are pretty much aligned. We think Congress is hobbling an economic recovery by delaying the funding related to COVID-19 and now, additionally, funding related to the wildfires. We think many municipal entities are under extreme stress.…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch