Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • The Cumberland State of Despair Index
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA & Patricia Healy, CFA & Tom Patterson | Fri December 4, 2020



    Half a century ago, Arthur Okun was an American economist who served on the President’s Council of Economic Advisers as chairman and before that was a professor at Yale University. Among Dr. Okun’s many contributions to the field of economics, one of the most memorable is the Okun “misery index…


  • Decision Time for the UK and Europe
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu December 3, 2020



    Time is running out for the UK and Europe to reach an agreement on the terms under which the UK will leave the European Union (EU) at year end. Also, the member countries of the European Union have yet to reach final agreement on a much-needed, massive additional fiscal stimulus package.


  • Not As It Seems
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed December 2, 2020



    On November 19, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin sent a letter to the Federal Reserve Board requesting a 90-day extension of several Fed programs to provide liquidity to financial markets, including the Commercial Paper Funding Facility, the Primary Dealer Credit Facility, the Money Market Liquidity…


  • Fed's Path; also Why Barbell, Not Ladder
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue December 1, 2020



    “The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate over the 12 months ending in October was 1.7 percent. According to the BEA, the overall PCE inflation rate was 1.2 percent on a 12-month basis, and the inflation rate for PCE excluding food and energy was 1.4 percent on a 12-month basis. The tables below…


  • ESG Investing, Arctic Ice & Derek Riley (story at the end)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon November 30, 2020



    We expect the new Biden administration to reverse on a massive scale Trump’s deregulation of energy and to turn strongly to sustainable-energy policy. The implications for investing in ESG are huge. Cumberland holds positions in wind, solar and water and we expect to hold those positions for a…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 23, 2020 - Nov 27, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun November 29, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Sturgis!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed November 25, 2020



    Dear readers, this piece about Sturgis and its aftermath has been weeks in preparation. We are sending it now because we believe that Sturgis was the largest of the super-spreader events that have occurred in the United States – half a million people without any restrictions. And we believe…


  • Fed Vacancies – the Dilemma As of 11/23/2020
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue November 24, 2020



    As the Biden administration begins to float the names of potential cabinet members, an interesting scenario and potential dilemma faces the Federal Reserve Board.


  • The Ballet
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon November 23, 2020



    My friend Steve sent this terrific musical dance video. Enjoy. Please notice how deeply you see ballet training in so many of the dancers we recognize.

     


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Nov 16, 2020 - Nov 20, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun November 22, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch