Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #7 More gun violence
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 27, 2019



    This holiday season has come with ill tidings with respect to gun violence:

    “At least 28 people were wounded in 3 separate shootings across these 3 states this weekend,” CNN, Dec. 23, 2019, https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/23/us/three-shootings-baltimore-minnesota-chicago/index.html


  • 4Q 2019 Review - Total Return Taxable Fixed Income
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Fri December 27, 2019



    During the Q4 of 2019, Treasury yields rose in the maturity range of two years out to thirty years, with the biggest increase being the yield for the 10-year. As of December 23, the 10-year Treasury had risen 24.5 bps to 1.911%. The Fed did elect to lower the fed funds rate again at the end of…


  • Bob Eisenbeis shares Personal Reflections of Paul Volcker
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed December 25, 2019

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Paul Volcker as remembered by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    Reading a number of the tributes to Paul Volcker, who passed away last week, and recitations of his contributions brought back my own experiences with him when I was on the staff of the Federal Reserve Board from 1976–1981. Among his key attributes were his integrity, the quality of his public…


  • Manicures and Oenophiles
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue December 24, 2019



    We’ve written previously about the new TLRwire service introduced by Philippa Dunne and Doug Henwood. Readers who want to view a sample or subscribe can go here: https://www.tlranalytics.com/subscriptions/tlr-wire. I’m a paying subscriber myself, and I’m recommending TLRwire because I think it…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 16, 2019 - Dec 20, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 22, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Impeachment, Markets, NIRP, Clark Gable
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 21, 2019



    In the famous 1939 movie Gone with the Wind, Scarlet O’Hara (Vivien Leigh) delivers this poignant entreaty to Rhett Butler (Clark Gable): “Where shall I go? What shall I do?”


  • New Trends in Charitable Giving & Declining Confidence in Institutions Examined
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Fri December 20, 2019



    Over the last few decades, trust in key public institutions has been eroding. Here are some recent figures compiled by Gallup (https://news.gallup.com/poll/1597/confidence-institutions.aspx) that document this trend:


  • Paul Volcker
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu December 19, 2019



    Many have written, interviewed, and commented about the passing of Paul Volcker. We particularly like the commentary of Chris Whalen, who knew him better than many and whose  family had connections with Paul Volcker over the years. We also note our GIC colleague Catherine Mann’s remembrance.…


  • FOMC ZZZZZZZZZZZZ
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue December 17, 2019



    “Boring” was how commentators on at least one network characterized the FOMC’s December 11th decision to hold rates constant.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 09, 2019 - Dec 13, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon December 16, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch