Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue September 25, 2018
The European Central Bank (ECB) left its monetary policy stance unchanged at its September 13 meeting. Net asset purchases will end in December, but with the Bank’s maintaining its stock of assets, the reinvestment of redemptions will maintain substantial stimulus. No increase in policy interest…
Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Sat September 22, 2018
The US equity market has had a strong third quarter this year. Our quantitative strategy benefited from the market rebound in July and August and took profits off the table at the end of last month. We have been sitting in all cash and waiting for the next entry signal since we exited near the…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 21, 2018
Third-quarter US stock markets have faced a formidable array of media distractions, ranging from hurricanes to Trump tweets to SCOTUS scuffles – and on and on.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 19, 2018
A while ago we wrote about a one-time tax-code change and why it might be causing the yield curve to flatten. Here is that commentary: “Why the Yield Curve Is Flat & Why It May Steepen” (https://www.cumber.com/why-the-yield-curve-is-flat-why-it-may-steepen/).
Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed September 19, 2018
Cumberland has utilized separately managed accounts to execute its fixed-income strategy since its inception in 1973, long before separately managed accounts (SMAs) were popularized in the early 2000s.
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Sun September 16, 2018
Jim Roemer (A.K.A. Dr. Weather) has been forecasting for the commodity and ski industry for over 30 years . He splits his time between Sarasota, Florida and Vermont, and has a deep passion and concern about the environment and climate. We found his work titled, "Florida’s Red Tide: Possible…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 14, 2018
The countdown to midterms is now in full force, and the ads, emailings, snailmailings, and robo-phone-call invasions into our personal lives will all combine to show us the worst of America’s political ugliness as it now descends on our country.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 7, 2018
On Wednesday morning POLITICO’s Morning Money shared this quote from Bob Woodward’s new book, Fear, and opined on Trump’s intentions in the trade arena:
“I can stop this,” Cohn reportedly said. “I’ll just take the paper off his desk.”
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 5, 2018
We start September with a cash reserve in our US equity ETF portfolios. Some details of our thinking follow.
We wish our readers a Happy Post-Labor Day return to confront the 9-week run-up to the midterms. Other risk items include a possible government shutdown (not likely, in our view)…
Author(s): Bob Bunting | Thu August 30, 2018
Bob Bunting, a friend, meteorologist, and accomplished professor, has offered his insight on climate change via this guest commentary, It’s Hot and Getting Hotter – The Case for Adaptive Strategies for a Warming Planet. We appreciate his perspective and invite you to join the conversation.