Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed October 24, 2018
Why did Hurricane Michael intensify so quickly? And why was the Western US so hot and dry this summer? And what about climate change all across the rest of the global landscape and seascape? And what do I do with my portfolio?
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon October 22, 2018
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. They are not revised assessments and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries our editors have determined of interest to…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat October 20, 2018
We want to open a discussion about cognitive epistemology, invoking behavioral economics and translating our conclusions into a market strategy at the end.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri October 19, 2018
The last few days, President Trump has made inflammatory and in some instances misguided remarks as to the nature of current Fed policy, its impact on the stock market and potentially on the economy.
Examples follow:
Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Thu October 18, 2018
The devastation from Michael in terms of lives and property damage is still being assessed. Our hearts go out to those affected.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat October 13, 2018
“Ready, Fire, Aim”?
Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Wed October 10, 2018
VIX, the “fear gauge,” measures S&P 500 near-term volatility by using options that expire in 23–37 days. Therefore, the VIX we often discuss is the 1-month volatility index. However, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) also publishes 3-month (VIX3M) and 6-month (VIX6M) volatility…
Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu October 4, 2018
Government deficit out of control, irresponsible government policies, tumbling bond prices and bank share prices, threat of rating-agency downgrades, political instability – we have seen similar Italian dramas in the past that, in the end, did not lead to serious financial market contagion.…
Author(s): Shaun Burgess | Wed October 3, 2018
As the third quarter comes to a close, a fragile sense of optimism for the future of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico has blossomed. It has arisen not just from the resolve of its people in the wake of Hurricane Maria but also from important milestones that have been reached in the long…
Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Tue October 2, 2018
Treasury yields went up across the curve throughout the third quarter of 2018. Once again the rate move was led by the front end of the yield curve, with Treasury bills and notes out to three years experiencing the largest increase in yield.