Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

SUBSCRIBE TO MARKET COMMENTARY
  • California High on Cannabinoid Wellness
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 7, 2018



    “California High on Cannabinoid Wellness” is the title to this commentary which was written a few days ago.

    Now we must ask: “What about the rest of the nation?”

    By yearend, 8 states will have recreational Marijuana; 29 will have medical usage. Meanwhile a reversal of established…


  • December 2017 FOMC Minutes
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat January 6, 2018



    On Wednesday, the Fed released the minutes of the FOMC’s December meeting.  As usual, the minutes followed the standard format, mirroring the way presentations and discussions proceed at FOMC meetings.  It began with a brief summary report by the manager of the Open Market Desk in New York. …


  • 4Q 2017 Credit Commentary – Taxes, Pensions, Ratings
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Fri January 5, 2018



    The fourth quarter was dominated by tax reform and its effects on the supply and pricing of municipal bonds. The prospect that one of President Trump’s major initiatives would finally be passed by year-end buoyed the stock market http://www.cumber.com/market-volatility-etf-portfolio-4q-2017-…


  • Puerto Rico – Fourth Quarter 2017 Review
     Author(s): | Thu January 4, 2018



    The Commonwealth of Puerto Rico entered the fourth quarter having suffered one of the most devastating natural disasters in the island’s history. Hurricane Maria left billions of dollars in damage in its wake, including both infrastructure damage and economic losses. The human costs have been…


  • 4Q 2017, Tactical Trend
     Author(s): Matthew C. McAleer | Wed January 3, 2018



    Recognizing strengths and weaknesses among primary asset classes is the core goal of our Tactical Trend strategy. The strategy seeks to identify relative strength and trend strength in an attempt to allocate capital to the strongest asset classes while underweighting or eliminating exposure to…


  • Welcome to 2018!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 2, 2018



    Happy New Year Wishes.

    The final Congressional Budget Office (CBO) scoring of the tax bill was submitted to the House Ways and Means Committee on December 15. A summary of the scoring is available here in PDF form: https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/costestimate/…


  • Taxable Total Return 4th Quarter Review
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Fri December 29, 2017



    The fourth quarter of 2017 continued to produce records in the equity market, while the yield curve in the fixed-income market continued a flattening trend. The largest movement in yield was on the short end, as short-term rates continue to rise. As of December 20th, the 1-year and 2-year…


  • 4Q 2017 Review: International ETF
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed December 27, 2017



    The strong advance in international (global ex-US) equity markets this year slowed down in the final quarter as advanced-economy markets consolidated their substantial gains and some emerging markets gave back part of their earlier advances. Latin American markets were hit by weakness in…


  • More on Shrinkage, Hillsdale & Christmas Cheer
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun December 24, 2017



    Many readers (copied below) responded to our commentary that described the attempt of Senator Pat Toomey (R-Pa) to “carve out” a special provision in the tax bill for Hillsdale College in Michigan.


  • Wildfires Abound
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Sat December 23, 2017



    Natural disasters appear to be on track for a record year. Numerous wildfires in the West and back-to-back hurricanes in the Southeast raise questions about how the affected areas will fare in terms of people and businesses remaining in the area, the continuance of federal aid, and the…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch