Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Tue September 27, 2022
Hurricane Ian Notice
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon September 26, 2022
We used Yahoo Finance to extract the visual effects of the US dollar’s gyrations. Let’s tell the story with two ETFs. One shows US dollar strength and the other shows the weakness; these are against a basket of six major world currencies relative to the US dollar. The two ETFs operate as a basic…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 25, 2022
Author’s Note: Patty Healy, Cumberland’s Senior Vice President of Research, assisted with this commentary.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu September 22, 2022
As expected, the FOMC increased the range for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 3–3.25%, and the message delivered by Chairman Powell was clear that the FOMC intended to continue such tightening, as reflected in the September SEPs — the median funds rate was now predicted to be 4.4%…
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue September 20, 2022
Markets did not like the August CPI increase over the number from July, which remained essentially unchanged, though a significant decline had been predicted. The Bureau of Labor Statistics just published the CPI for August and provided along with it a detailed breakdown of the CPI into over 300…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 18, 2022
This is the beginning of a multipart series on ESG. ESG is loosely defined as environmental, social, and governance factors in investing. There is an evolving rating system, with multiple factors. It is applied to different types of organizations, and it is becoming a worldwide standard. In the…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 14, 2022
Many readers continue to ask about the Fed’s 2% inflation target, especially after the recent CPI and the market’s reaction to it. Here’s the Fed’s own explanation, courtesy of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. We recommend it for a clear explanation of what 2% means.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue September 13, 2022
Barron’s ran this column on Friday afternoon before Labor Day weekend. It’s worthwhile. It discusses the Phillips curve and versions modified for current usage.
Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Mon September 12, 2022
Following a steep decline in 2021, Chinese stocks have provided a roller-coaster ride to international investors thus far in 2022, as positive spurts encounter headwinds that cut short market recoveries. For example, the SPDR S&P China ETF, FXI, after hitting a low in mid-March, staged…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 11, 2022
The philosopher and Holocaust survivor Elie Wiesel said, “Words name things and then replace them.” He was reflecting on the nature of history as time passes. He was speaking about the word Holocaust, which, at the time I heard him say it, meant the World War 2 period and the concentration camps…