Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • ESG-Part 2: Jackson, Mississippi
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 25, 2022

    ESG-Part 2: Jackson, Mississippi by David R. Kotok


    Author’s Note:  Patty Healy, Cumberland’s Senior Vice President of Research, assisted with this commentary.


  • The September FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu September 22, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - September 2022 FOMC (Eisenbeis)


    As expected, the FOMC increased the range for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 3–3.25%, and the message delivered by Chairman Powell was clear that the FOMC intended to continue such tightening, as reflected in the September SEPs — the median funds rate was now predicted to be 4.4%…


  • Inflation: How Bad Is It?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue September 20, 2022

    Inflation: How Bad Is It? by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    Markets did not like the August CPI increase over the number from July, which remained essentially unchanged, though a significant decline had been predicted. The Bureau of Labor Statistics just published the CPI for August and provided along with it a detailed breakdown of the CPI into over 300…


  • ESG-Part 1, October 14 Conference Information
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 18, 2022

    ESG-Part 1, October 14 Conference Information


    This is the beginning of a multipart series on ESG. ESG is loosely defined as environmental, social, and governance factors in investing. There is an evolving rating system, with multiple factors. It is applied to different types of organizations, and it is becoming a worldwide standard. In the…


  • The Fed's 2% Target
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 14, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Fed 2% Target by David R. Kotok


    Many readers continue to ask about the Fed’s 2% inflation target, especially after the recent CPI and the market’s reaction to it. Here’s the Fed’s own explanation, courtesy of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. We recommend it for a clear explanation of what 2% means.


  • Phillips Curve: Maybe, Maybe Not. Markets Outlook at the End
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue September 13, 2022

    Phillips Curve: Maybe, Maybe Not. Markets Outlook at the End by David R. Kotok


    Barron’s ran this column on Friday afternoon before Labor Day weekend. It’s worthwhile. It discusses the Phillips curve and versions modified for current usage.


  • Crosscurrents for Chinese Stocks
     Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Mon September 12, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Crosscurrents for Chinese Stocks (China) by William H. Witherell, Ph.D


    Following a steep decline in 2021, Chinese stocks have provided a roller-coaster ride to international investors thus far in 2022, as positive spurts encounter headwinds that cut short market recoveries. For example, the SPDR S&P China ETF, FXI, after hitting a low in mid-March, staged…


  • 9/11 Reflection
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun September 11, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - 9/11 Reflection by David R. Kotok


    The philosopher and Holocaust survivor Elie Wiesel said, “Words name things and then replace them.” He was reflecting on the nature of history as time passes. He was speaking about the word Holocaust, which, at the time I heard him say it, meant the World War 2 period and the concentration camps…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review September 06, 2022 - September 09, 2022
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat September 10, 2022

    Week in Review


    Dear Clients & Friends,


  • Brent Donnelly Guest Comments
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 7, 2022

    Brent Donnelly Guest Comments


    My friend Brent Donnelly of Spectra Markets, tenured regular attendee at the annual gathering in Maine, has granted permission to share his excellent research note about US dollar strength and stock markets.


 

 

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Plutarch