Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Sneak or Snuck?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue August 10, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary 2021


    The anchor on TV said, “He snuck it in.”


  • Back to Leen’s Lodge
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed August 4, 2021



    After a year’s break because of COVID, we are reconvening the annual summer gathering at Leen’s Lodge in Grand Lake Stream, Maine. The Global Interdependence Center has been enormously helpful in organizing the gathering.


  • Eurozone’s Summer Growth Spurt and the Risks from the Delta Variant
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue August 3, 2021



    The Eurozone’s economy as measured by GDP expanded by 2% q/q in the second quarter, significantly faster than expected, indeed faster than the economies of the US and China. However, Eurozone GDP was still 3% lower than its pre-pandemic high, while US second-quarter GDP was 0.8% higher. The HIS…


  • Pandemic Insights: Barry Ritholtz Interviews Charity Dean
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon August 2, 2021

    Pandemic Insights Barry Ritholtz Interviews Charity Dean


    Pandemic Insights: Barry Ritholtz Interviews Charity Dean


  • FOMC July Meeting
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri July 30, 2021

    FOMC July Meeting by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    The FOMC decided to maintain its accommodative policy stance, continuing its target range for the federal funds rate between 0% and 0.25% and maintaining its $80 billion purchase of Treasury securities and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities. The statement was virtually identical in…


  • Stock Market Update
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu July 29, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Stock Market Update 2021


    Earnings of the S&P 500 Index companies continue to deliver positive surprises as the results of the second quarter of 2021 are revealed. Market agents are really focused on the direction of future earnings. What will earnings look like in 2022?


  • Fed and Inflation
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue July 27, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Fed & Inflation


    The debate about inflation in the United States continues to rage. The argument over “transitory” inflation and what that means versus a strategic accelerating upward trend in the price level defines the outcomes we see among various forecasts. But the only thing we know about making forecasts,…


  • Better Late Than Never
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun July 25, 2021

    Better Late Than Never


    The fact that 52 million doses of COVID vaccines are languishing unused, about to expire, is a national embarrassment for Americans, a failure in government in some states, and a global tragedy.


  • UK Freedom Day+1, A Guest Comment
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed July 21, 2021

    UK Freedom Day+1, A Guest Comment


    Reader Kevin Humphreys is an independent financial analyst based in London. He is a specialist in European and UK financial market analysis, with 35 years in the Treasury Ministry, investment banking, and brokerage.  


  • Still Favor Healthcare Sector in US ETF portfolio: COVID “Ain’t Over”
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue July 20, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Still Favor Healthcare Sector in US ETF portfolio - COVID Ain’t Over


    Not all COVID is the same. If you had COVID-19 last year, or if you caught Alpha (B.1.1.7) this spring, you can still get Delta (B.1.617.2). Vaccination, not perfect, is still the best defense we have against hospitalization and death. Delta spreads more than twice as readily as Alpha does. (…


 

 

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Plutarch